碳排放权交易对制造业绿色全要素生产率的影响研究  

Carbon emission trading and green total factor productivity of manufacturing industry

作　　者：肖卫国[1] 张语芮 Xiao Weiguo;Zhang Yurui(School of Economics and Management,Wuhan University,Wuhan,Hubei 430072)

机构地区：[1]武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《重庆社会科学》2023年第7期19-34,共16页Chongqing Social Sciences

摘　　要：随着“双碳”目标的提出,碳排放交易系统(ETS)如何影响高碳排放行业,如制造业的绿色全要素生产率(GTFP)增长逐渐成为一个重要研究话题。双重差分法是近年来识别碳排放权交易与制造业绿色全要素生产率之间关系的常用研究方法。以2014年开始试点的碳排放权交易政策为准自然实验,研究显示,碳排放权交易政策能够显著促进我国制造业的绿色全要素生产率提升。进一步研究发现,碳排放权交易能够通过筛选外商对内直接投资(IFDI)的质量,进而对绿色全要素生产率产生积极作用。稳健性检验表明,在考虑双重差分法设定条件、平行趋势检验、反事实检验、更改倾向得分匹配方法等后,碳排放权交易对我国制造业绿色全要素生产率的积极作用依然成立。With the proposal of the"dual carbon"goal,how carbon emissions trading(ETS)affects high-carbon emission industries,such as the growth of green total factor productivity(GTFP)in manufacturing,has gradually become an important research topic.The double difference method is a common research method to identify the relationship between carbon emissions trading and green total factor productivity in manufacturing in recent years.Based on the pilot carbon emission trading policy in 2014,the study shows that the carbon emission trading policy can significantly promote the development of green total factor productivity in China's manufacturing industry.Further research finds that carbon emissions trading can have a positive effect on the green total factor productivity of the manufacturing industry by screening the quality of foreign inward direct investment(IFDI).The robustness test shows that the positive effect of carbon emission trading on the green total factor productivity of China's manufacturing industry is still valid after considering the setting conditions of the double difference method,the parallel trend test,the counterfact test,and the change of the propensity score matching method.

关 键 词：碳排放权交易 制造业绿色全要素生产率 外商对内直接投资 双重差分法 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]