城市群省际边界经济发展格局的时空演化研究  

SPATIAL-TEMPORAL EVOLUTION OF REGIONAL ECONOMY IN INTER-PROVINCIAL BOUNDARY OF URBAN AGGLOMERATION

作　　者：曾鹏 段至诚 魏旭 ZENG Peng;DUAN Zhi-cheng;WEI Xu(School of Ethnology and Sociology,Guangxi University for Nationalities,Nanning 530006,China;School of Business Administration,Guangxi University,Nanning 530004,China)

机构地区：[1]广西民族大学民族学与社会学学院,南宁530006 [2]广西大学工商管理学院,南宁530004

出　　处：《人文地理》2023年第3期118-127,共10页Human Geography

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD157)。

摘　　要：本文通过因子分析方法计算出中国城市群省际边界区域经济发展综合指数;并运用ESDA分析方法对城市群省际边界区域经济发展格局进行空间差异性及关联性分析,最后通过地理探测器模型对城市群省际边界区域经济发展影响因素进行解析,以期探索新时期城市群协调发展等难题的路径。研究发现:(1)省际边界区域经济发展相对差异的下降过程快于绝对差异下降过程;(2)省际边界区域局部关联程度高低与经济发展水平有较强的正相关关系;(3)省际边界区域局部空间关联程度冷点区域逐渐缩减,热点、次热点逐渐增多;(4)省际边界区域多依靠固定资产投资及政府财政支出维持经济发展,体现出规模化企业数量有限、区域辐射效应不强的现实困境。At present,China's economy has transformed from a stage of rapid growth to a stage of highquality development.The comprehensive index system of the economic development level of the interprovincial boundary region is constructed,and the comprehensive index of the economic development of each district and county in the interprovincial boundary region of Chinese urban agglomeration is calculated by factor analysis and other methods.Then,through visual processed by origin software,ESDA analysis method and GIS are used to analyze the spatial difference and spatial-temporal evolution of the economic development pattern of the interprovincial boundary regions of Urban agglomerations in China.Finally,geographical detector model is used to analyze the influencing factors of the economic development of the interprovincial boundary regions of urban agglomerations.The results show that:(1)The decline process of relative disparity of economic development is faster than that of absolute disparity;(2)There is a strong positive correlation between the level of economic development and the degree of local correlation between provincial boundary regions of urban agglomeration;(3)The local spatial correlation degree of inter-provincial boundary regions of urban agglomerations showed a slow upward trend of decreasing cold spots and increasing hot spots and subhot spots,(4)Provincial boundary regions of urban agglomeration mostly rely on fixed asset investment and government financial expenditure to maintain regional economic development,and reflect the realistic dilemma of limited number of large-scale enterprises and weak regional radiation effect.

关 键 词：城市群省际边界区域 经济发展格局 空间差异性与关联性 时空演变分析 影响因素 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]