能源低碳转型风险及其应对策略——基于新型能源安全观的研究  

Risks and coping strategies for energy low-carbon transitions:Research based on the new concept of energy security

作　　者：李程琳 周云亨 王福宁 方恺[1,3] LI Chenglin;ZHOU Yunheng;WANG Funing;FANG Kai(School of Public Administration,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;State Key Lab of Clean Energy Utilization,State Environmental Protection Engineering Center for Coal-Fired Air Pollution Control,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310027,China;Zhejiang Ecological Civilization Academy,Anji 313300,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江大学公共管理学院,浙江杭州310058 [2]浙江大学能源高效清洁利用全国重点实验室,国家环境保护燃煤大气污染控制工程技术中心,浙江杭州310027 [3]浙江生态文明研究院,浙江安吉313300

出　　处：《能源环境保护》2023年第4期46-55,共10页Energy Environmental Protection

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD108);国家自然科学基金项目(72074193,42341205);浙江省重点研发计划项目(2022C03154,2022C03030)。

摘　　要：能源低碳转型已成为世界各国应对气候危机和推动可持续发展的重要途径。然而,已有的研究大多是基于能源供给或者需求安全等相对单一的维度对能源低碳转型的风险与挑战展开分析,这将导致转型风险识别不够全面。鉴于此,本文在梳理能源安全观内涵演进的基础上,构建了涵盖供需安全、技术安全、信息安全、市场安全和人才安全的新型能源安全观“五维”分析框架,系统阐述我国能源低碳转型面临的风险,进而提出应对策略,包括保障能源供给,强化供需安全;发挥煤电优势,提升技术安全;维护数据系统,保障信息安全;完善市场机制,维护市场安全;加大人才建设,重视人才安全。本文认为,以新型能源安全观引领能源低碳转型,对于推动我国“双碳”目标实现和高质量发展具有重大意义。Energy low-carbon transitions have become a crucial approach for countries around the world to cope with climate crisis and promote sustainable development.However,most of the existing studies have analyzed the risks and challenges of the energy low-carbon transitions from relatively single dimensions,such as energy supply or demand security,which will lead to incomplete identification of transition risks.In view of this,by reviewing the evolution of the connotations of energy security,this paper proposes a five-dimensional analytical framework for the new concept of energy security,covering supply and demand security,technology security,information security,market security and talent security.By identifying the risks associated with China′s energy low-carbon transitions,several coping strategies are discussed,including ensuring energy provision to strengthen supply and demand security,taking advantages of coal power to improve technology security,maintaining data systems to safeguard information security,improving market mechanism to preserve market security,and increasing the supply of talents to attach importance to talent security.This paper demonstrates that the new concept of energy security to lead energy low-carbon transitions is of great significance for achieving China′s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals and high-quality development.

关 键 词：能源低碳转型 转型风险 新型能源安全观 “双碳”目标 

分 类 号：X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F426.2[经济管理—产业经济]