数字经济、流通效率与居民消费增长  

Digital Economy,Distribution Efficiency and Consumer Growth

作　　者：祝合良 郭凯歌 王春娟[3] ZHU Heliang;GUO Kaige;WANG Chunjuan(School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China;School of Economics,Capital University of Economics and Commerce,Beijing 100070,China;Business Research Institute,Beijing College of Finance and Commerce,Beijing 101101,China)

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京100124 [2]首都经济贸易大学经济学院,北京100070 [3]北京财贸职业学院商业研究所,北京101101

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2023年第6期5-17,共13页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：北京市社会科学基金重大项目暨北京市习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心项目“构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局研究”(21LLYJA006);北京市属高等学校优秀青年人才培育计划项目“双碳目标下数字经济驱动北京绿色物流高质量发展研究”(BPHR202203247)。

摘　　要：居民消费增长是形成强大国内市场、促进国内国际双循环的关键,对于畅通国内大循环、促进国内国际双循环具有重要意义。基于中国地级市面板数据与中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)微观数据,检验数字经济、流通效率与居民消费增长之间的关系。研究表明:数字经济显著促进居民消费增长;数字经济通过提升流通效率间接促进居民消费增长;数字经济对居民消费增长促进作用存在物质资本、人力资本、流通效率和经济发展的异质性,收入和受教育水平较高的群体,以及流通效率较高和经济较发达的地区,数字经济发展水平对居民消费增长促进效应更强,流通效率的中介效应也更显著。因此,我国应当通过加快数字基础设施建设、推进数字产业发展、提高数字研发创新能力、促进数字普惠金融发展、制定差异化发展策略,发挥数字经济新优势,提升流通效率,从而促进居民消费增长。Resident consumption growth is the key to forming a strong domestic market and promoting domestic and international double circulation,and it is important to smooth out the domestic circulation and promote domestic and international double circulation.This paper selects the panel data of Chinese prefecture-level cities and micro data of China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)to test the relationship between digital economy,circulation efficiency and residential consumption growth.The study shows that:the digital economy significantly promotes the growth of residential consumption;the digital economy indirectly contributes to the growth of residential consumption by affecting the efficiency of distribution;there is heterogeneity among physical capital,human capital,circulation efficiency and economic development in the promotion of digital economy on residents'consumption growth.Groups with higher income and education levels,as well as regions with higher circulation efficiency and more developed economies,have a stronger promotion effect on residents consumption growth,and the mediating effect of circulation efficiency is also more significant.Therefore,China should give play to the new advantages of digital economy and improve circulation efficiency by accelerating the construction of digital infrastructure,promoting the development of digital industry,improving digital R&D and innovation capacity,promoting the development of digital inclusive finance,and formulating differentiated strategies,so as to promote the growth of residents consumption.

关 键 词：数字经济 居民消费增长 流通效率 DEA-SBM模型 CFPS 

分 类 号：F713.5[经济管理—市场营销]