基于灰色-前景改进优劣解距离法的多气候区建筑三联供系统多准则评估  

Multi-criterion Evaluation Framework of Building Triple Supply System in Multi-climate Regions Based on Grey-prospect TOPSIS

作　　者：侯健敏[1,2] 徐志豪 余威杰 孟莹[1] 李志 葛泉波 HOU Jianmin;XU Zhihao;YU Weijie;MENG Ying;LI Zhi;GE Quanbo(College of Automation Engineering,Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology,Nanjing 210044,Jiangsu Province,China;Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology(CICAEET)(Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology),Nanjing 210044,Jiangsu Province,China)

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学自动化学院,江苏省南京市210044 [2]江苏省大气环境与装备技术协同创新中心(南京信息工程大学),江苏省南京市210044

出　　处：《电网技术》2023年第7期2659-2670,共12页Power System Technology

基　　金：江苏省研究生实践创新计划项目(SJCX22_0357)。

摘　　要：建筑冷热电联供(building combined cooling heating and power,BCCHP)系统具有显著的经济、环境和能效耦合特性,评估BCCHP系统的综合性能表现对于促进系统协调发展具有重要意义。该文基于系统的能量结构,构建多气候区BCCHP系统多准则评估框架。对区域气候条件特征和建筑类型特征下的建筑负荷演化机理展开分析;采用主观赋权和客观赋权相结合,基于最小鉴别信息原理得到评估指标综合权重;并通过前景理论和灰色关联分析法改进优劣解距离法(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution,TOPSIS)方法。结果表明,成本节约率、能源利用率和可再生能源渗透率是BCCHP系统综合表现的关键体现,气候条件特征主要影响的经济效益,建筑类型特征影响系统的环境表现和能效表现。与其他3种评估方法相比,该文提出的多气候区BCCHP系统多准则评估框架具有良好的样本排序鲁棒性和更优的样本区别能力。Building combined cooling,heating and power(BCCHP)system has remarkable coupling characteristics of economy,environment and energy efficiency.It is of great significance to evaluate the comprehensive performance of a BCCHP system for promoting the coordinated development of the system.Based on the energy structure of the system,a multi-criterion evaluation framework of a BCCHP system in the multi-climate regions is constructed.The evolution mechanism of the building load under the characteristics of the regional climate conditions and the building types is analyzed;Combining the subjective with the objective weights,the comprehensive weights of the evaluation indexes are obtained based on the minimum identification information;The technique for the order preference by similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)method is improved by the prospect theory and the grey correlation analysis.The results show that the cost saving rate,the energy utilization rate and the renewable energy penetration rate are the key manifestations of the comprehensive performance of a BCCHP system.The characteristics of climate conditions mainly affect the economic benefits,while the characteristics of building types affect the environmental performance and the energy efficiency performance of the system.Compared with the other three evaluation methods,the multi-criterion evaluation framework of the BCCHP system in the multi-climate regions proposed in this paper has a good robustness in the sample ranking and has a better sample discrimination ability.

关 键 词：建筑冷热电联供系统 灰色–前景改进TOPSIS 组合赋权 气候特征 建筑类型特征 

分 类 号：TM721[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]