2023年6月中国需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估  

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in China,June 2023

作　　者：孔庆福 马晓洁 刘凤凤[2] 黄晓霞[3] 袁媛[4] 王霄晔 向妮娟[1] 涂文校[1] 孟玲[1] 笃梦雪 施国庆[1] Kong Qingfu;Ma Xiaojie;Liu Fengfeng;Huang Xiaoxia;Yuan Yuan;Wang Xiaoye;Xiang Nijuan;Tu Wenxiao;Meng Ling;Du Mengxue;Shi Guoqing(Public Health Emergency Center,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;Division of Infectious Disease,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 102206,China;National Institute of Occupational Health and Poison Control,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100050,China)

机构地区：[1]中国疾病预防控制中心卫生应急中心,北京102206 [2]中国疾病预防控制中心传染病管理处,北京102206 [3]中国疾病预防控制中心病毒病预防控制所,北京102206 [4]中国疾病预防控制中心职业卫生与中毒控制所,北京100050

出　　处：《疾病监测》2023年第6期631-635,共5页Disease Surveillance

摘　　要：目的评估2023年6月在我国(不含香港地区、澳门地区特别行政区和台湾地区,下同)发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果预计2023年6月突发公共卫生事件报告数可能较5月增多,以新型冠状病毒感染、流行性感冒、水痘、其他感染性腹泻病和手足口病等传染病类事件为主。自上次风险评估(2023年5月8日)以来至2023年6月6日,我国本土新型冠状病毒感染疫情呈现先波动上升后下降趋势;XBB系列变异株为境内疫情主要优势流行株;疫情对医疗秩序和社会正常运行影响较小;预计6月蘑菇中毒事件继续增多;预计6月高温中暑病例继续增多;根据既往报告情况,预计6月手足口病疫情将呈上升趋势;预计6月全国发热伴血小板减少综合征仍将处于高水平阶段。结论对新型冠状病毒感染予以特别关注,对蘑菇中毒、高温中暑、手足口病、发热伴血小板减少综合征予以一般关注。Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies that may occur or be imported from abroad in China(except Hong Kong and Macao Special Administrative Regions and Taiwan Province,the same below)in June 2023.Methods Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases,the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government)centers for disease prevention and control were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.Results It is predicted that the incidence of public health emergencies in June 2023 would be higher than that in May 2023.The main public health emergencies would be infectious diseases such as COVID-19,influenza,varicella,other infectious diarrhea and hand,foot and mouth disease.The epidemic of COVID-19 in China rose,and then began to decline.XBB virus has become the main circulating strain of COVID-19 infection in China.The possibility of an outbreak of scale with a medical and social impact is less.According to the previous trend,it is predicted that the epidemic of mushroom poisoning,heat stroke and hand,foot and mouth disease in China will rise in June while the epidemic of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome will stay high stage.Conclusion Special attention is given to COVID-19,and general attention is given to mushroom poisoning,heat stroke;hand,foot and mouth disease and severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome.

关 键 词：突发公共卫生事件 传染病疫情 蘑菇中毒 高温中暑 手足口病 发热伴血小板减少综合征 风险评估 

分 类 号：R211[医药卫生—中医学] R51