中国农业经济形势分析与未来展望  

Analysis and Prospect of China's Agricultural Economy

作　　者：王禹[1] 许世卫[1] 李干琼[1] Wang Yu;Xu Shiwei;Li Ganqiong(Agricultural Information Institute,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences/Research Center of A gricultural Monitoring and Early Warning Engineering Technologies of Beijing/Key Open Laboratory of Intelligent Agricultural Early Warning Technologies and Systems,Chinese A cademy of Agricultural Sciences/Key Laboratory of A gricultural Information Service Technology of the Ministry of A griculture and Rural Affairs,Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/北京市农业监测预警工程技术研究中心/中国农业科学院智能化农业预警技术与系统重点开放实验室/农业农村部农业信息服务技术重点实验室,北京100081

出　　处：《农业展望》2023年第6期13-17,共5页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：农业农村部规划设计研究院乡村振兴重点课题(XC2X2DKT-20230713);2023年中国农业科学院农业信息研究所公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金(JBYW-AII-2023-32)。

摘　　要：当前,中国全面推进乡村振兴,加快建设农业强国,农业生产稳中有进,粮食产量再获丰收,重要农产品保障能力进一步加强,为建设农业强国、加快推进农业农村现代化、全面推进乡村振兴奠定了坚实的基础。详细介绍了中国当前及未来一段时间的宏观经济社会情况,主要包括经济发展、城乡融合、第一产业就业、城乡居民收入、城乡居民消费价格等方面,重点分析了当前及未来一段时期高标准农田建设、水资源、农业科技和农业政策情况,并从生产、消费、贸易和价格4个方面对2023年及未来10年中国农产品供需形势进行了分析和展望。At present,China has comprehensively promoted rural revitalization,accelerating the construction of an agricultural power.Agricultural production has made steady progress,grain production has reaped another bumper harvest,and the security capacity of important agricultural products has been further strengthened,laying a solid foundation for building an agricultural power,accelerating the modernization of agriculture and rural areas,and comprehensively promoting rural revitalization.China's macroeconomic and social situation in the present and future was introduced in detail,mainly including economic development,urban-rural integration,employment in the primary industry,income of urban and rural residents,and consumer prices of urban and rural residents.The current and future situation of high standard farmland construction,water resources,agricultural technology,and agricultural policies were emphatically analyzed,and the supply and demand situation of China's agricultural products in 2023 and the next 10 years were analyzed and forecasted from four aspects of production,consumption,trade and price.

关 键 词：农业经济 宏观形势 重要农产品 生产 消费 贸易 价格 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]