年中观市(上)  

Focus:mid-year view of shipping market(Ⅰ)

出　　处：《中国远洋海运》2023年第7期34-35,8-10,共5页Maritime China

摘　　要：2023年上半年,尽管疫情影响已经消退,但受到通胀高企、利率上调、消费不振、地缘政治危机、厄尔尼诺现象等多重不利因素的影响,全球经济增长仍然乏力。在周期性与外部性因素叠加影响下,航运市场整体步入下行通道,运价波动剧烈、频繁,且不确定性增大。In the first half of 2023,although the impact of COVID-19 has subsided,global economic growth is still weak due to multiple adverse factors such as high inflation,higher interest rates,sluggish consumption,geopolitical crises,and El Nino phenomenon.Under the superimposed influence of cyclical and external factors,the shipping market as a whole has entered a downward channel。

关 键 词：航运市场 下行通道 通胀高企 厄尔尼诺现象 运价 地缘政治 利率上调 不确定性 

分 类 号：F83[经济管理—金融学]