基于命中概率的水面舰艇射击航线规划探究  

Research on shooting route planning of surface ships based on hit probability

作　　者：孟大禹 傅学庆[2] 孙伟 MENG Dayu;FU Xueqing;SUN Wei(Midshipmen Group Five,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian 116018,China;Department of Warship Command,Dalian Naval Academy,Dalian 116018,China)

机构地区：[1]海军大连舰艇学院学员五大队,辽宁大连116018 [2]海军大连舰艇学院舰船指挥系,辽宁大连116018

出　　处：《兵器装备工程学报》2023年第S01期175-181,共7页Journal of Ordnance Equipment Engineering

摘　　要：为在维权执法任务中充分发挥水面舰艇舰炮武器火力的威力,提高对侵权舰船射击命中概率,构建了水面舰艇射击命中界、射击误差、命中概率仿真模型,通过仿真计算得出不同射击距离、目标舷角所对应的水面舰艇舰炮射击命中概率,分析研究了射击命中概率与射击距离、目标舷角之间的关系,得出不同射击距离下的最优射击舷角。通过仿真实验,规划了基于最大命中概率的水面舰艇相对于侵权目标舰船的最优射击航线,研究成果可以为海军、海警舰艇执行维权任务提供参考借鉴。In order to give full play to the gun firepower of surface ships and improve the probability of hitting infringing ships,this paper constructs a simulation model of ship hit boundary,shooting error and hit probability.Through simulation calculation,the hit probability of surface ship gun corresponding to different firing distances and target board angles is obtained.The relationship between shooting probability,shooting distances and target board angles is analyzed,and the optimal shooting angle under different shooting distances is obtained.Through the simulation experiment,the optimal shooting route of the surface ships based on the maximum hit probability relative to the infringing target ship is planned.The research results can provide a reference for navy and coast guard vessels to execute right protection tasks.

关 键 词：命中概率 目标舷角 射击航线 射击误差 

分 类 号：TJ391[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程]