基于“项目-能力”关联的战略规划项目体系贡献率评估方法  

Evaluation method for the system-of-systems contribution ratio of strategic planning project based on“project-capability”association

作　　者：王涛[1] 李小波 张杰[1] 何华 王维平[1] WANG Tao;LI Xiaobo;ZHANG Jie;HE Hua;WANG Weiping(College of Systems Engineering,National University of Defense Technology,Changsha 410073,China)

机构地区：[1]国防科技大学系统工程学院,湖南长沙410073

出　　处：《系统工程与电子技术》2023年第8期2295-2304,共10页Systems Engineering and Electronics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(72101263);国家社会科学基金(2022-SKJJ-B-104,2021-SKJJ-C-107)资助课题。

摘　　要：根据军事力量体系化建设与运用的战略规划评估要求,亟需从作战体系能力要求角度开展战略规划项目的定量评估。本文将体系贡献率评估引入战略规划评估领域,以战略规划项目对作战体系能力和战略目标的贡献为主线,构建明确项目体系定位的“项目-能力”关联模型和刻画作战体系建设过程机理特征的能力生成周期模型,提出战略规划项目体系贡献率评估方法。通过开展“马赛克”作战体系支撑项目贡献率评估算例研究,初步例证了所提方法的可行性和有效性。所提出的建用一体的项目评估模式,能够为战略规划评估提供基于能力生成机理的定量决策支持。According to the strategic planning evaluation requirements for the system-of-systems(SoS)construction and application of military forces,it is urgent to conduct quantitative evaluation of strategic planning projects from the perspective of combat SoS capability requirements.This article introduces the evaluation of SoS contribution rate into the field of strategic planning evaluation,focusing on the contribution of strategic planning projects to the capabilities and strategic objectives of the combat SoS.It constructs a“project-capability”correlation model with clear project SoS positioning and a capability generation cycle model that characterizes the mechanism characteristics of the combat SoS construction process.A method for evaluating the contribution rate of strategic planning project SoS is proposed.The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are preliminarily demonstrated by conducting a case study on the contribution rate evaluation of the“mosaic”combat SoS support project.The proposed integrated project evaluation model can provide quantitative decision support for strategic planning evaluation based on capability generation mechanism.

关 键 词：战略规划项目 “项目-能力”关联模型 项目体系贡献率 体系能力生成周期模型 

分 类 号：E92[军事—军事装备学]