中国与“一带一路”沿线国家能源合作的经济溢出效应研究  

Research on the economic spillover effect of energy cooperation between China and countries along the “the Belt and Road”

作　　者：刘志雄[1] 谭钰燕 王璨 Liu Zhixiong;Tan Yuyan;Wang Can(School of Economic,Guangxi Minzu University,Nanning 530007,China)

机构地区：[1]广西民族大学经济学院,广西南宁530007

出　　处：《煤炭经济研究》2023年第4期4-13,共10页Coal Economic Research

基　　金：广西教育科学规划2021年度广西财经素养教育研究专项课题(2021ZJY873);广西高等学校千名中青年骨干教师培育计划人文社会科学类立项课题(2021QGRW028)。

摘　　要：随着“一带一路”建设的持续深入,国际能源合作的领域和范围进一步拓展,其能否产生经济溢出效应值得深入研究。构建了能源合作对经济增长影响的基准回归模型和中介效应模型,利用我国与18个“一带一路”沿线国家2012—2021年的数据进行实证检验。研究发现:能源合作不仅能直接促进东道国经济增长,还能够通过影响东道国的外资流入和基础设施建设来促进其经济增长,且高能源合作程度国家对东道国经济增长的促进作用高于低能源合作程度国家。由于能源合作能更好地促进“一带一路”沿线国家的经济增长,为保障我国与沿线国家能稳定开展能源合作,我国可从提高东道国重视程度、引领各国差异化合作、促进双方重大项目达成3个角度出发,推动能源合作向纵深发展。With the continuous deepening of the“the Belt and Road”construction and the further expansion of the field and scope of international energy cooperation,whether it can produce economic spillover effects deserves in-depth research.This paper constructs a benchmark regression model and a mediation effect model of the impact of energy cooperation on economic growth,and uses the data of China and 18 countries along the“the Belt and Road”from 2012 to 2021 to conduct an empirical test.The study found that energy cooperation can not only directly promote the economic growth of host countries,but also promote their economic growth by influencing the inflow of foreign capital and infrastructure construction,and countries with a high degree of energy cooperation have a higher role in promoting the economic growth of host countries than countries with a low degree of energy cooperation.Since energy cooperation can better promote the economic growth of the countries along the“the Belt and Road”,in order to ensure the stable energy cooperation between China and the countries along the“the Belt and Road”,China can promote the in-depth development of energy cooperation from three aspects:increasing the importance of the host country,leading the differentiated cooperation among countries,and promoting the achievement of major projects between the two sides.

关 键 词：一带一路 能源合作 溢出效应 异质性 

分 类 号：F415.1[经济管理—产业经济]