人民币汇率波动对我国出口质量的影响分析  

Analysis of the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on China's Export Quality

作　　者：刘迅[1] 穆秀珍[1] 战岐林[1] 曾小慧[1] LIU Xun;MU Xiu-zhen;ZHAN Qi-lin;ZENG Xiao-hui(Shandong Technology and Business University,Yantai 264005,China)

机构地区：[1]山东工商学院经济学院,山东烟台264005

出　　处：《山东工商学院学报》2023年第4期34-44,共11页Journal of Shandong Technology and Business University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“全球价值链收缩趋势下周边贸易协定对我国产业链安全稳定的作用研究”(22BJL138);2022年山东工商学院自贸区研究院课题“烟台自贸试验区建设的物流发展策略研究”(0210)。

摘　　要：汇率波动会以外生冲击的形式对出口企业的行为造成影响。采用国内增加值率作为出口质量的代理变量,探讨汇率波动对产品出口质量的影响。研究发现,人民币汇率波动对出口质量有正向影响,1%的实际汇率波动,使得企业出口质量平均波动0.19%。在质量差异大的行业中,人民币实际汇率的波动,对产品出口质量的正向影响为0.4%,且在统计上显著。但在质量差异小的行业中该效应并不显著。另外,人民币汇率波动也会对出口企业的数目产生影响。研究还发现,人民币汇率波动也会影响企业决策,同时企业竞争强度是出口质量升级的决定性因素。Exchange rate fluctuations will affect the behavior of export enterprises in the form of exogenous shocks.Using the domestic value-added rate as the proxy variable of export quality,this paper discusses the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on product export quality.It is found that the fluctuation of RMB exchange rate has a positive impact on export quality.The fluctuation of 1%of the actual exchange rate makes the average fluctuation of enterprises'export quality 0.19%.It further proves that in industries with large quality differences,the fluctuation of the real exchange rate of RMB has a positive impact on the export quality of products of 0.4%,which is statistically significant.However,this effect is not significant in industries with small quality differences.In addition,the fluctuation of RMB exchange rate will also affect the number of export enterprises.The study also found that the fluctuation of RMB exchange rate will also affect the decision-making of enterprises,and the intensity of enterprise competition is the decisive factor for the upgrading of export quality.

关 键 词：汇率波动 我国出口质量 国内增加值率 竞争压力 

分 类 号：F832.63[经济管理—金融学]