机场旅客吞吐量预测方法研究综述  

Review of prediction methods of airport passenger throughput

作　　者：陈斌 吴瑾 CHEN Bin;WU Jin(College of Civil Aviation,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China;China Civil Aviation Engineering Consulting Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100621,China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学民航学院,南京211106 [2]中国民航工程咨询有限公司,北京100621

出　　处：《中国民航大学学报》2023年第3期1-7,共7页Journal of Civil Aviation University of China

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFD1101001);国家自然科学基金项目(51768014)。

摘　　要：机场旅客吞吐量预测是确定机场建设规模的重要依据,对机场投资决策具有重要意义。为了促进机场旅客吞吐量预测方法的创新研究,本文通过对不同场景下机场旅客吞吐量预测方法进行系统综述,提出特殊事件影响下的机场旅客吞吐量预测方法、旅游驱动型机场的旅客吞吐量预测方法和新建机场的旅客吞吐量预测方法将是未来机场旅客吞吐量预测问题的研究重点。The prediction of airport passenger throughput is an important basis for determining the construction scale of the airport and is of great significance for decision-making of airport investment.In order to promote the innovative research of prediction methods of airport passenger throughput,this article provides a systematic review concerned about prediction methods of airport passenger throughput under different scenarios.It proposes that prediction methods of airport passenger throughput under the influence of special events,prediction methods of passenger throughput for tourism driven airports and prediction methods of passenger throughput for newly built airports will be the focus of future research.

关 键 词：机场 旅客吞吐量 预测方法 

分 类 号：V354[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]