战时弹药消耗预测方法研究  

Research on Prediction Method of Ammunition Consumption in Wartime

作　　者：李振宇 李保刚 雷瑶 LI Zhenyu;LI Baogang;LEI Yao(Naval Aviation University,Yantai 264010)

机构地区：[1]海军航空大学,烟台264010

出　　处：《舰船电子工程》2023年第5期141-145,共5页Ship Electronic Engineering

摘　　要：弹药,是战争形态演化的关键要素,是作战方式转变的内在本质,是人类文明进步的智慧结晶,是科技创新成就的集中体现。现代作战交战强度高、持续时间短,弹药消耗量急剧增长,提高弹药消耗预测精确度成为增强军队战斗力的重要手段,引起广大学者关注。论文按弹药消耗预测方法不同特性将目前主要的弹药消耗预测方法分为基于案例经验推算、作战模拟与人工智能三大类,通过对比分析得出目前弹药预测方法存在的问题,最后指出未来重点发展方向。Ammunition is the key element of the evolution of war forms,the inherent essence of the transformation of combat modes,the crystallization of the wisdom of the progress of human civilization,and the concentrated embodiment of scientific and technological innovation achievements.Modern combat engagement intensity is high,the duration is short,and ammunition consumption increases rapidly.Improving the prediction accuracy of ammunition consumption has become an important means to enhance the combat effectiveness of the army,which has attracted the attention of many scholars.In this paper,according to the different characteristics of ammunition consumption prediction methods,the current main ammunition consumption prediction methods are divided into three categories,which are empirical calculation based on case,combat simulation and artificial intelligence.Through comparative analysis,the existing problems of ammunition consumption prediction methods are obtained,and the key development direction is pointed out at last.

关 键 词：弹药消耗预测 推算 作战模拟 人工智能 

分 类 号：E927[军事—军事装备学]