双循环战略下中国对外贸易政策GTAP模型分析  

Analysis of China’s Foreign Trade Policy GTAP Model under the Dual Circulation Strategy

作　　者：李明哲 杨博淳 Li Mingzhe;Yang Bochun(Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications,Nanjing 210023,China)

机构地区：[1]南京邮电大学,南京210023

出　　处：《经济研究导刊》2023年第14期13-17,共5页Economic Research Guide

基　　金：2021年江苏省大学生实践创新训练项目“双循环战略下中国对外贸易政策GTAP模型分析”(SZDG2021042)。

摘　　要：如今全球经济增长速度放缓,全球多边贸易破裂危机显现。因此,在贸易政策、区域经济一体化和自由贸易领域,从研究的角度探讨了中国自由贸易区经济增长的影响,利用GTAP模型对我国贸易政策进行初步模拟研究,并利用GTAP模型预测我国经济增长的影响。继而,对我国贸易政策的效果前景进行展望,为进一步推进贸易自由化提供了政策建议,为我国贸易政策的制定提出了探索方案。Nowadays,the global economic growth rate has slowed down,and the crisis of global multilateral trade breakdown has emerged.Therefore,in the fields of trade policy,regional economic integration,and free trade,the impact of China’s free trade zone economic growth was explored from a research perspective.The GTAP model was used to conduct preliminary simulation research on China’s trade policy,and the GTAP model was used to predict the impact of China’s economic growth.Subsequently,the prospects for the effectiveness of China’s trade policies were prospected,providing policy recommendations for further promoting trade liberalization and exploring solutions for the formulation of China’s trade policies.

关 键 词：贸易政策 GTAP模型 经济增长 

分 类 号：F114[经济管理—国际贸易]