智慧城市能否通过智慧能源建设推动“双碳”目标实现?——基于合成控制法的试验证据  

Can Smart Cities Drive Dual Carbon Targets Through Smart Energy Construction?——Experimental Evidence Based on Synthetic Control Methods

作　　者：唐珺 高煜[1,2] 李朋林[3] TANG Jun;GAO Yu;LI Peng-lin(School of Economic&Management,Northwest University,Xi'an 710127;Center for Studies of China Western Economic Development,Northwest University,Xi'an 710127;School of Management,Xi'an University of Science and Technology,Xi'an 710127)

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院,西安710127 [2]西北大学中国西部经济发展研究院,西安710127 [3]西安科技大学管理学院,西安710127

出　　处：《软科学》2023年第7期90-96,133,共8页Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(21ZDA066、21FJLB028)。

摘　　要：基于2014-2020年碳排放数据,利用合成控制法进行准自然实验,评估智慧城市中智慧能源建设的减排效果,基于投影寻踪评价模型和耦合协调模型检验试点城市的智慧城市与智慧能源系统建设之间耦合协调关系,寻找其在融合过程中存在的关键问题。研究发现:智慧城市的智慧能源建设对人均碳排放具有十分显著的负向作用,可通过优化能源结构和提高能源效率等机制减少碳排放;智慧能源与智慧城市的耦合度处于较高水平,两系统关系密切;两者之间耦合协调水平数值跨度较大,不同类型智慧城市中智慧能源建设所面临的关键问题存在较大差异。Based on carbon emission data from 2014 to 2020,this paper evaluates the emission reduction effect of smart energy construction in smart cities by conducting a quasi-natural experiment using synthetic control method.And then,it examines the coupling and coordination relationship between the construction of smart city and smart energy system in pilot cities based on projection tracing evaluation model and coupling coordination model to find the key problems in their integration process.Results show that,the smart energy construction in smart cities has a very significant negative effect on per capita carbon emissions,and can reduce carbon emissions through mechanisms such as optimizing energy structure and improving energy efficiency.The coupling degree between smart energy and smart cities is at a high level,and the two systems are closely related.The coupling and coordination level between the two spans a wide range of values,and the key problems faced by smart energy construction in different types of smart cities exist.There is a large difference between the two.

关 键 词：城市碳排放 智慧城市 智慧能源 “双碳”目标 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济] F49F299.2