黄河流域限制开发区的绿色发展效率及其影响因素  

Green development efficiency and its influencing factors in restricted development zones in the Yellow River Basin

作　　者：李春梅[1] 沈文科 苏颖喆 LI Chunmei;SHEN Wenke;SU Yingzhe(School of Economics and Management,Lanzhou University of Technology,Lanzhou Gansu 730050,China;School of Humanities and Social Science,The Chinese University of Hong Kong,(Shenzhen),Shenzen Guangdong 518000,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州理工大学经济管理学院,甘肃兰州730050 [2]香港中文大学(深圳)人文社科学院,广东深圳518000

出　　处：《中国人口·资源与环境》2023年第8期157-165,共9页China Population,Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“基于产业关联溢出效应的中国区际产业转移绩效比较研究”(批准号:15XJL008);国家自然科学基金项目“基于金融杠杆视角的资产价格泡沫形成机理和监控系统研究”(批准号:72161026);甘肃省哲学社会科学规划重点项目“甘肃打造千亿级产业集群的方向和路径研究”(批准号:2021ZD001);甘肃省基础研究计划-软科学专项“新发展格局下甘肃工业融入‘一带一路’实现高质量发展的路径研究”(批准号:22JR4ZA082);兰州理工大学红柳扶持学科项目(批准号:201801);兰州理工大学学生科技创新基金资助项目“黄河流域限制开发区绿色发展效率研究”(批准号:kcjj23110)。

摘　　要：推动黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展要坚持优化国土空间开发格局走绿色发展道路。该研究采用含非期望产出的SBM模型测度2010—2019年黄河流域限制开发区36个地级市的绿色发展效率,进一步运用模糊集定性比较分析(FsQCA)方法探究各影响因素联动对绿色发展效率的复杂影响机制。研究发现:①全流域限制开发区的绿色发展效率整体呈现波动上升趋势,流域内各区域绿色发展效率差异明显,下游限制开发区的绿色发展效率最高,中游限制开发区次之,上游限制开发区最低。②全流域限制开发区高绿色发展效率地区由集群分布向连片分布转变,效率有效地区从集中在上中游地区转变成集中在中下游地区,黄河南岸限制开发区的绿色发展效率显著高于黄河北岸区域。③经济发展水平、城镇化水平、环境规制、贸易开放水平、产业结构高级化和科教投入均无法单独成为推动黄河流域限制开发区形成高绿色发展效率的必要条件。④存在4种模式可以促进黄河流域限制开发区绿色发展效率提升,分城市类型看,环境规制+外向经济联动模式能够推动黄河流域限制开发区的农业型城市绿色发展效率提升;基础动力+环境规制+外向经济+产业升级联动模式能够推动黄河流域限制开发区资源型城市绿色发展效率提升;外向经济+产业升级联动和基础动力+产业升级+科教投入联动两种模式可以助推黄河流域限制开发区的老工业基地城市绿色发展效率提升。该研究基于组态关联视角为黄河流域限制开发区农业型城市、资源型城市和老工业基地城市因地制宜、分类施策助推绿色发展提供了建议。It is essential to adhere to the optimization of national land use development patterns and the green development policy for achieving ecological conservation and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin.This paper used the undesirable output SBM model to measure the green development efficiency of 36 prefecture-level cities in the restricted development zones of the Yellow River Basin from 2010 to 2019.It also used the Fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis(FsQCA)method to explore the complex influence mechanism of the linkage of various influencing factors on the efficiency of green development.The results showed that:①The green development efficiency of the restricted development zones in the whole basin showed an overall fluctuation and upward trend,and the green development efficiency of various regions in the basin varied significantly.The downstream restricted development zones had the highest green development efficiency,followed by the middle stream restricted development zones,with the upstream restricted development zones having the lowest efficiency.②The areas with high green development efficiency in the restricted development zones of the whole basin changed from cluster distribution to contiguous distribution,the effective efficiency areas changed from being concentrated in the upper and middle reaches to the middle and lower reaches of the areas,and the green development efficiency of the restricted development zones on the southern bank of the Yellow River was significantly higher than that of the areas on the northern bank.③Each of these factors—the level of economic development,urbanization,environmental regulation,degree of trade openness,advanced industrial structure,and investment in science and education—could not singularly become a necessary condition for promoting the formation of high green development efficiency in the restricted development zone of the Yellow River Basin.④Four models were identified as those that could promote green development efficiency in

关 键 词：黄河流域 限制开发区 绿色发展效率 非期望产出SBM 模糊集定性比较分析 

分 类 号：F124.5[经济管理—世界经济]