社会网络理论视域下国际恐怖组织的活动网络分析与启示——基于JJATT“Al Qaeda Operations Attack Series”数据库与Gephi的可视化分析  

The Activity Network of International Terrorist Organizations Based on JJATT"AI Qaeda Operations Attack Series"Database and Gephi Visualization Analysis:A Perspective of Social Network Theoryand Some Implications

作　　者：戴继诚 雷子奇 DAI Jicheng;LEI Ziqi

机构地区：[1]中国人民公安大学犯罪学学院,北京100038

出　　处：《公安学研究》2023年第3期40-57,123,124,共20页Journal of Public Security Science

基　　金：中国人民公安大学犯罪学双一流创新研究专项(2023SYL03)阶段性成果。

摘　　要：随着信息技术的进步与国际社会打击力度的增强,国际恐怖组织已由传统的等级式结构向网络式结构演化,“基地”组织就是其中的典型代表。社会网络理论认为,行为者之间的关系纽带承担信息互动和资源传递功能,关系网络结构影响甚至决定行动的机会与效果。通过分析“基地”组织网络中的点度中心性、中介中心性等影响恐怖活动的关键性指标,可采取针对性措施,精确打击恐怖组织。通过切断节点之间的强弱联结,则可以有效弱化恐怖主义叙事,阻断恐怖主义传播。这对我国当前反恐和去极端化工作具有一定的启示与参考意义。With the advances of information technology and global society's more efforts to combat terrorism,international terrorist organizations,exemplified by al-Qaeda,have evolved from the traditional hierarchical structure to a network structure.According to social network theory,relational ties between actors assume the functions of information interaction and resource transfer,and the structure of relational networks affects and even determines the opportunities and effects of their actions.An analysis of the structure of al-Qaeda network and its characteristics shows that the criteria of degree centrality and betweenness centrality are significant for measuring and classifying the nodes of terrorist organizations,based on which pertinent measures can be taken to precisely combat terrorist organizations.By cutting strong and weak ties,the spread of terrorism can be effectively stopped,and its social harm mitigated.These findings can provide reference for current counter-terrorism and de-extremization work in Xinjiang.

关 键 词：社会网络理论 恐怖组织 反恐对策 

分 类 号：D815.5[政治法律—国际关系]