印尼经济特区发展及其经济效应评估——基于合成控制法的分析  

Economic Effects of Special Economic Zones in Indonesia:Based on Synthetic Control Method

作　　者：林梅[1] 赵悦 Lin Mei;Zhao Yue

机构地区：[1]厦门大学国际关系学院暨南洋研究院,厦门361005

出　　处：《亚太经济》2023年第3期82-94,共13页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

摘　　要：印尼经济特区政策是印尼对内缩小区域发展差异、调整产业结构和工业升级、促进数字经济发展的重要战略,同时是对外吸引投资、参与全球价值链的窗口。2019年印尼经济特区进入新的发展阶段,印尼政府更注重提高经济特区的技术水平和产品的附加价值。基于印尼2006—2020年26个省份的面板数据,运用合成控制法对印尼经济特区的经济效应进行检验得出:印尼经济特区对当地经济发展具有促进作用,特别是工业经济特区的作用更加明显,与此同时,地区经济发展水平和经济特区的效应也具有正向关系,即在经济发展水平较高的地区运行工业经济特区的经济效益更明显,而印尼的旅游经济特区由于实施时间较短加上全球新冠疫情影响,还未对地区经济产生积极作用。Indonesia's special economic zone(SEZ) policy is an important strategy for Indonesia to narrow regional development disparities,adjust industrial structure,upgrade industry and promote the development of digital economy internally,as well as a window to attract foreign investment and participate in global value chains externally.In 2019,Indonesia's SEZs evolved into a new phase of development which the Indonesian government paid more attention to improving the technology level of SEZs and the added value of products.Based on the panel data of 26provinces in Indonesia from 2006 to 2020,the economic effects of Indonesia's SEZs are tested by using synthetic control method and it is concluded that industrial SEZs in areas with a relatively high level of economic development make a significant contribution to attracting foreign investment,industrial restructuring and local economic development.While due to the relatively short period of implementation and the impact of the COVID-19,tourism SEZs in Indonesia have not yet had a positive effect on the regional economy recently.

关 键 词：印尼经济特区 经济效应 合成控制法 

分 类 号：F13[经济管理—世界经济] F17