可再生能源消费对新型城镇化发展的影响:基于动态面板门限模型的研究  

Impact of renewable energy consumption on the development of new urbanization:A study based on dynamic panel threshold model

作　　者：张毅祥[1] 刘贽源 宋博伟 高尚 任思雨 ZHANG Yixiang;LIU Zhiyuan;SONG Bowei;GAO Shang;REN Siyu(School of Management and Economics,Beijing Institute of Technology,Bejing 100081,China;School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China)

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京100081 [2]南开大学经济学院,天津300071

出　　处：《中国软科学》2023年第6期215-224,共10页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72074025)。

摘　　要：为了正确认识可再生能源消费与新型城市化之间的关联机制,实现可持续发展,选取2006—2019年中国30个省(自治区、直辖市)(不含西藏、香港地区、澳门地区、台湾地区)的面板数据,运用全排列多边形图示指标法对我国新型城镇化水平进行测算,并构建动态面板门限模型以分析可再生能源消费对新型城镇化发展的非线性影响。研究表明:(1)整体上,中国新型城镇化水平呈现出从东部地区向东北、中、西部地区递减的发展态势,区域发展梯级格局明显。(2)可再生能源消费能显著推动新型城镇化进程。(3)可再生能源消费对新型城镇化发展存在非线性影响。具体而言,以绿色投资、环境规制和外商直接投资为门限变量,跨越门限值后可再生能源消费对新型城镇化的正向效应逐渐增强。To establish the correct understanding of the correlation mechanism between renewable energy consumption and urbanization and thus achieve sustainable development,this study selects panel data of 30 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities) in China from 2006-2019,measures the level of new urbanization in China using the entire-array-polygon indicator method,and constructs a dynamic panel threshold model to analyze the nonlinear impact of renewable energy consumption on the development of new urbanization.The main findings are as follows:(1) Overall,China's new urbanization level shows a decreasing development trend from the eastern to the northeastern,central and western regions,with an obvious regional development gradient pattern.(2) Renewable energy consumption can significantly promote the process of new urbanization.(3) There is a nonlinear effect of renewable energy consumption on new urbanization.Specifically,with green investment,environmental regulation and foreign direct investment as threshold variables,the positive effect of renewable energy consumption on new urbanization gradually increases after crossing the threshold value.

关 键 词：可再生能源 新型城镇化 门限效应 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]