学生因病缺课监测系统与预警模型研究进展  

Research progress on surveillance system and early warning model of students’absence from school due to illness

作　　者：裴梦云 朱青春 闾雯霨 徐新 张鹏 PEI Mengyun;ZHU Qingchun;LYU Wenwei;XU Xin;ZHANG Peng(Graduate School,Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine,Shanghai 201203,China;Deparment of Health and Education,Shanghai Science,Technology and Arts Education Center,Shanghai 200335,China;Clinical Medical School of Shanghai Health Medical College)

机构地区：[1]上海中医药大学研究生院,上海201203 [2]上海市科技艺术教育中心卫生教育部,上海200335 [3]上海健康医学院临床医学院,上海200237

出　　处：《实用预防医学》2023年第7期894-896,F0003,共4页Practical Preventive Medicine

基　　金：2021年度上海市教育科学研究项目(C2021238)。

摘　　要：传染病是危害人类生命健康的一个重要公共卫生问题,传染病的早期预警可降低对社会经济的影响。因病缺课监测系统能实现学校学生常见疾病早期监测,对做好学校传染病的早期预警工作有重要作用。目前运用于传染病预测预警的模型主要有自动预警系统的固定阈值模型、时间模型、时空模型和时间序列模型。模型研究对疾病的预测预警有重要意义。Infectious diseases are an important public health problem that endangers human life and health,and early warning of infectious diseases can reduce their impacts on social economy.The monitoring system of absenteeism due to illness can realize the early monitoring of common diseases of school students,and plays an important role in the early warning of infectious diseases in schools.At present,the main models applied in infectious disease prediction and early warning are fixed threshold model,time model,spatio-temporal model and time series model of automatic early warning system.Model research is of great significance to the prediction and early warning of diseases.

关 键 词：传染病 防控 因病缺课监测系统 预警模型 

分 类 号：R183[医药卫生—流行病学]