合作视角下的印太地区国家地缘军事关系网络演化研究  

The evolution of geo-military relations network of IndoPacific countries based on cooperation perspective

作　　者：常耀伟 张晶[2,3] 韩志军 王俊威 唐代红 杜树坤 CHANG Yaowei;ZHANG Jing;HAN Zhijun;WANG Junwei;TANG Daihong;DU Shukun(Unit 32021 of PLA,Beijing 100094,China;Information Engineering University,Zhengzhou 450001,China;Key Laboratory of Spatiotemporal Perception and Intelligent Processing,Ministry of Natural Resources,Zhengzhou 450001,China)

机构地区：[1]32021部队,北京100094 [2]信息工程大学,郑州450001 [3]时空感知与智能处理自然资源部重点实验室,郑州450001

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2023年第8期1-15,共15页World Regional Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41301125、41401160);国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD138)。

摘　　要：近年来,世界战略重心东移,传统的亚太与印度洋地区加速融合,美、日、印、澳等国纷纷出台各自的“印太战略”,深刻改变着我国周边的地缘环境。采用社会网络分析方法,基于GDELT数据对2001—2020年间合作视角下的印太地区国家地缘军事关系网络演变特征进行分析。结果发现:(1)2001年以来,印太地区国家地缘军事关系水平在波动中上升,整体网络规模不断扩大,网络关联性较高;(2)节点度数中心度提升明显,加权网络具有无标度特征,中、美、日等大国影响力显著,东盟国家及地区其他国家对网络的控制能力逐渐提升;(3)印太地区国家地缘军事关系网络呈现明显的“核心-半边缘-边缘”结构,核心国家主要为中、美两国,半边缘国家主要为日本、韩国、澳大利亚、菲律宾等美国盟友与亲密伙伴;(4)社区探索结果在时空上分化整合显著,逐步演化为由东盟国家组成的社区和以美国、日本、澳大利亚、韩国、印度等国家组成的社区。In recent years,the world's strategic center of gravity has shifted eastward,and the integration of the traditional Asia-Pacific and Indian Ocean regions has accelerated.The United States,Japan,India and Australia have launched their own "Indo-Pacific Strategy",which has profoundly changed the geopolitical environment around China.Based on the GDELT data,this paper adopts the social network analysis method to analyze the evolution characteristics of the geo-military relationship network of countries in the Indo-Pacific region from the perspective of cooperation between 2001 and 2020.The results showed that since 2001,the Indo-Pacific region countries' geo-military relations level has rise in volatility and the scale of the overall network continues to expand,the network is highly relevant.The degree centrality of nodes increases obviously,and the weighted network has the scale-free feature.Major powers such as China,the United States and Japan have significant influence,and the control ability of ASEAN countries and other countries in the region is gradually improving.The geo-military relationship network presents an obvious "core-semi-periphery-periphery" structure.The core countries are mainly China and the United States,and the semi-peripheral countries are mainly US allies and close partners such as Japan,South Korea,Australia,and the Philippines.The results of community exploration are significantly differentiated and integrated in time and space.Currently,it evolves into a community composed of ASEAN countries and a community composed of the United States,Japan,Australia,South Korea and India.

关 键 词：地缘军事关系 印太地区 社会网络分析 GDELT数据 

分 类 号：K901.4[历史地理—人文地理学] E11[军事—军事理论]