中国城市国内旅游规模幂律分布实证研究  

The Empirical Study of the Power Law Distribution of Domestic Tourism Scale in Chinese Cities

作　　者：江可申[1] 扶文潇 徐菱涓[1] JIANG Ke-shen;FU Wen-xiao;XU Ling-juan(College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏南京211106

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2023年第8期36-45,共10页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

摘　　要：国内旅游市场是旅游业的主体部分,是旅游业发展的基础和重点.引进幂律分布模型,基于2012-2017年我国地级及以上城市国内旅游收入数据,对国内旅游规模的分布规律进行研究.研究发现,我国城市国内旅游规模呈幂律分布,差异显著.同时城市间规模差距存在缩小的趋势,这意味着国内旅游市场存在协调发展的可能性.国内旅游规模的分布特征是由旅游系统的偏好依附、自组织、分形等机制所形成.本文旨在为分析国内旅游规模分布的特征寻求新的思路和方法,进而为促进旅游业实现均衡、协调增长的政策制定提供新的参考.Domestic tourism market is not only the main part of tourism industry,but also the basis and focus of tourism development.In this paper,we introduced the powerlaw distribution model to study the distribution law of domestic tourism scale.The empirical study used the domestic tourism income data of cities at or above the prefecture level in China from 2012 to 2017.It is found that the domestic tourism scale of Chinese cities follows a powerlaw distribution which means significant differences.Meanwhile,there is a downward trend of domestic tourism scale difference between cities with the development of domestic tourism market.This means that the domestic tourism market is moving towards a coordinated and balanced direction.It is pointed out that the distribution characteristics of tourism scale are formed by the mechanisms of preference dependence,self-organization and fractal of tourism system.The purpose of this paper is to seek new ideas and methods for analyzing the characteristics of domestic tourism scale distribution based on relevant theories of other disciplines.Through the laws we found and the causes of the laws we discussed,we can provide a new reference for the policy of promoting tourism industry to achieve a balanced and coordinated growth.

关 键 词：国内旅游规模 分布特征 幂律分布 形成机制 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]