民用轻小型无人机未来运行风险评估  

Research on Future Operation Risk Assessment of Civil Light and Small UAV

作　　者：张晓全[1] 郝维骞 ZHANG Xiaoquan;HAO Weiqian(College of Safety Science,Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学安全科学与工程学院,天津300300

出　　处：《综合运输》2023年第7期60-65,86,共7页China Transportation Review

摘　　要：为提高未来轻小型无人机运行安全水平,对轻小型无人机未来交通管理运行系统进行风险识别与评估。首先采用流程图法和因果分析法对轻小型无人机未来交通管理运行流程进行初步风险识别,确定轻小型无人机运行风险因素;然后利用风险矩阵法和Borda序值法相结合的方式对风险因素进行评估。结果表明,驾驶员的违规操作和人员密集区风险等级较高,未来需重点管控,为相关管理部门开展轻小型无人机安全监管提供决策参考。In order to improve the safety level of light and small UAV operation in the future,the risk identification and evaluation of the future traffic management and operation system of light and small UAV is carried out.Firstly,the flow chart method and causal analysis method are used to conduct preliminary risk identification on the future traffic management operation process of light and small UAV,and determine the operation risk factors of light and small UAV.Then risk factors are evaluated by combining risk matrix method and Borda order value method.The results show that the driver's illegal operation and the risk level of densely populated areas are high,and the future needs to focus on control,which provides decision-making reference for relevant management departments to carry out light and small UAV safety supervision.

关 键 词：民用轻小型无人机 无人机交通管理 风险辨识 风险评价 风险矩阵 Borda序值法 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]