清代东北男性结婚难问题研究与启示——基于中国多世代人口数据库的分析  

Male Marriage Difficulty in Northeast China in Qing Dynasty and Its Implications:A Study Based on China Multi⁃generational Panel Dataset

作　　者：王磊[1] WANG Lei(Institute of Population and Labor Economics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100006,China)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所,北京100006

出　　处：《河北师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2023年第5期126-137,共12页Journal of Hebei Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

摘　　要：男性结婚难是我国社会长期存在的突出问题,利用历史人口数据库的分析研究能够为应对当前男性结婚难问题提供参考和借鉴。基于中国多世代人口数据库,运用描述性统计和离散时间事件史分析技术,全面考察清代中晚期东北男性的婚姻行为特征、婚姻困难表现及其影响因素,我们发现,男性终身不婚率很高并存在上升趋势;男性所属社会阶层越低,其婚姻困难越严重;家庭的成员构成及其社会经济特征对男性婚姻困难有重要影响。研究认为,男性结婚难的根本原因是婚姻制度对底层男性的排斥,经济因素是男性结婚难的关键原因,人口与社会因素则加剧了男性结婚难程度;当前应对男性结婚难问题需要长期、全面和系统的政策措施和多方协作形成合力。The difficulty of male marriage is a prominent long-standing problem in Chinese society.A study based on the historical population database can provide reference for the current difficulty of male marriage.Based on China Multi-generational Panel Dataset,using descriptive statistics and discrete time event history analysis technology,we made a comprehensive study on male marital behavior characteristics,marital difficulties and their influencing factors in Northeast China in the middle and late Qing Dynasty(1644 AD-1912 AD).It is found that the rate of lifelong unmarried men was very high and there was an upward trend.The lower the social class a man belonged to,the more serious his marriage difficulties were.Family members and their socio-economic characteristics had an important influence on male marital difficulties.The research holds that the root cause of male marriage difficulties is the rejection of the bottom men by the marriage system.The economic factors were the key reasons,and demographic and social factors aggravated the difficulty of male marriage.At present,it needs long-term,comprehensive and systematic policy measures and multi-party cooperation to deal with the difficulty of male marriage.

关 键 词：男性结婚难 中国多世代人口数据库 清代中晚期 

分 类 号：K25[历史地理—历史学]