水文模型参数区域化方法研究进展  

Review of Hydrological Model Parameter Regionalization Method

作　　者：孙周亮 刘艳丽[1,3,4] 陈鑫 舒章康 吴厚发 王婕 鲍振鑫 王国庆[1,3,4] SUN Zhouliang;LIU Yanli;CHEN Xin;SHU Zhangkang;WU Houfa;WANG Jie;BAO Zhenxin;WANG Guoqing(State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute,Nanjing 210029,China;State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development,Nanjing 210098,China;Research Center for Climate Change of Ministry of Water Resources,Nanjing 210029,China)

机构地区：[1]南京水利科学研究院水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏南京210029 [2]水资源工程与调度全国重点实验室(武汉大学),湖北武汉430072 [3]长江保护与绿色发展研究院,江苏南京210098 [4]水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏南京210029

出　　处：《水文》2023年第4期1-7,共7页Journal of China Hydrology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(52079079,91847301,92047203);江苏省自然科学基金(BK20191129)。

摘　　要：参数区域化方法是解决资料缺乏地区水文模拟和预报的有效手段,主要包括回归法、空间邻近法和属性相似法三类方法,可将有资料流域的水文模型参数移用到资料缺乏流域。首先回顾了区域化方法的基本原理和应用方法,并分析了三类主要区域化方法的适用性。从流域特征因子、水文模型及参数、不确定性探讨三个方面综述了区域化方法的研究进展。分析发现,当前区域化方法缺乏完善的理论基础,流域特征因子选择存在主观性,水文模型及参数的适用性方面研究不足。最后展望了未来的研究重点:(1)多维度适用性比较;(2)水文过程和参数的空间分布规律;(3)参数的尺度问题;(4)参数区域化的不确定性问题。Parameter regionalization methods are an effective tool to solve hydrological modeling and forecasting in ungauged basins.They mainly include three types of methods:regression method,spatial nearest neighbor method,and attribute similarity method,which can transfer the hydrological model parameters of the gauged basin to ungauged basin.Firstly,the fundamental principles and application method of these regionalization methods were reviewed,and the applicability of these regionalization methods was analyzed.The research progress of regionalization methods is reviewed from three aspects:basin characteristics factors,hydrological models and parameters,and uncertainty.The analysis reveals that the current regionalization method lacks a sound theoretical basis,the selection of basin characteristics factors is subjective,and the applicability of hydrological models and parameters is not sufficiently studied.Finally,the future research emphases were prospected:(1)multi-dimensional applicability comparison;(2)spatial distribution pattern of hydrological processes and parameters;(3)scale issue of parameters;and(4)uncertainty of regionalization.

关 键 词：无资料流域 水文预测 参数区域化 水文相似理论 流域特征因子 

分 类 号：P338[天文地球—水文科学] TV124[水利工程—水文学及水资源]