双轨制时期中国居民消费对经济增长的拉动作用研究  

Research on the Driving Effect of Chinese Private-consumption on Economic Growth in the Dual-track System Period

作　　者：张月英[1] ZHANG Yue-ying(Liaocheng University Library,Liaocheng 252059,China)

机构地区：[1]聊城大学图书馆,山东聊城252059

出　　处：《聊城大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第5期55-65,共11页Journal of Liaocheng University:Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA058):中华人民共和国居民消费史(1949-2019)。

摘　　要：1978-1998年双轨制时期,中国居民消费水平和生活质量得到了极大提升,经济持续快速发展,消费成为拉动经济增长的重要力量。经济计量模型和统计数据分析表明,相对于投资和出口两个动力要素,双轨制时期居民消费对中国经济增长的贡献度和拉动作用最为突出,是拉动中国经济发展的首要动力。与经济发展阶段相适应,在两种体制摩擦、较量与转轨的互动下,中国居民消费形成了在主体上依靠城镇居民、结构上依靠物质消费、层次上依靠数量扩张、市场上依靠国内市场的过渡型消费动力结构。During the dual-track system period from 1978 to 1998,the consumption level and quality of life of Chinese residents had been greatly improved.With the sustained and rapid development of economy,consumption had become an important force driving economic growth.Econometric model and statistical data analysis show that,compared with investment and export,private-Consumption in the dual-track period had the most prominent contribution and driving effect on China's economic growth,and was the primary driving force for China's economic development.In accordance with the economic development stage,under the interaction of the friction,competition and transition of the two systems,Chinese private-Consumption had formed a transitional consumption power structure,which depended on urban residents in the main body,on material consumption in the structure,on quantity expansion in the level,and on the domestic market.

关 键 词：双轨制时期 居民消费 经济增长 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]