基于多指标决策分析的军事欺骗识别方法  

Military Deception Identification Method Based on Multicriteria Decision-making Analysis

作　　者：吕学志 LYU Xuezhi(Unit 32179 of PLA,Beijing 100012,China)

机构地区：[1]解放军32179部队,北京100012

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2023年第7期13-22,共10页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(61703412);中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2017M613360)。

摘　　要：军事欺骗在战争中被广泛应用,如何识别军事欺骗是一项复杂任务。将识别军事欺骗问题转化为多指标决策分析问题。分析军事欺骗和反欺骗的定义,介绍军事欺骗识别量化分析的思路,构建军事欺骗识别指标体系,给出了AHP-熵-DEA-TOPSIS方法来评估证据欺骗性,在示例中将该方法应用于中途岛日军情报分析中,验证了方法的可行性与有效性。Military deception is widely used in wars.How to identify military deception is a complicated task.The problem of identifying military deception is transformed into a multicriteria decision-making analysis problem.Firstly,the definition of military deception and counterdeception is analyzed.The idea of quantitative analysis of military deception identification is introduced.Then,the index system of military deception identification is constructed,and the AHP-Entropy-DEA-TOPSIS method is given to evaluate the fraudulence of evidence.Finally,the method is applied to the Japanese intelligence analysis of Midway Islands Battle in an example to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.

关 键 词：军事欺骗 反欺骗 欺骗识别 多指标分析 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]