世界深水油气勘探形势分析与思考  

Analysis of the world deepwater oil and gas exploration situation

作　　者：温志新[1] 王建君[1] 王兆明[1] 贺正军[1] 宋成鹏[1] 刘小兵[1] 张宁宁[1] 季天愚 WEN Zhixin;WANG Jianjun;WANG Zhaoming;HE Zhengjun;SONG Chengpeng;LIU Xiaobing;ZHANG Ningning;JI Tianyu(PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration&Development,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石油勘探开发研究院,北京100083

出　　处：《石油勘探与开发》2023年第5期924-936,共13页Petroleum Exploration and Development

基　　金：中国石油天然气集团有限公司重大科技专项“基于多重地质属性溯源定位的全球六类盆地油气成藏规律研究”(2023ZZ07-01);“基于大数据的常规油气可采资源智能化评价技术研发”(2023ZZ07-02);“低碳背景下油气勘探资产技术经济商务一体化评价技术研究”(2023ZZ07-05)。

摘　　要：利用标普全球、睿咨得等商业数据及各油公司的公开信息,对全球深水油气勘探趋势、深水油气发现特点、七大国际油公司深水油气勘探业务布局进行系统分析。结果表明:深水领域是当前全球油气勘探发现最重要的领域,被动大陆边缘盆地深水大发现油气田个数及储量均最多,深水油气大发现对海域新发现油气总储量的贡献最大。岩性油气藏发现越来越多,且油气发现主要分布于中—新生界;七大国际油公司广泛活跃在深水油气勘探和开发各个环节,并发挥着全球引领作用。结合多年对全球油气地质与资源评价形成的理论认识,提出未来有利的深水勘探领域主要集中在大西洋两岸、印度洋周缘、北冰洋周缘等3大领域。提出了开拓海外深水油气勘探业务的6点建议:拓宽多用户地震资料获取渠道,提高深水勘探科学选区水平;加大重点领域深水勘探项目获取力度;灵活进退勘探区块;以大权益获取区块,采用“双勘探模式”经营;加强与深水技术领先国际油公司的合作;提升商务运作能力,逐步实现“非作业者”向“作业者”转变。The global trends in deepwater oil and gas exploration,characteristics of deepwater oil and gas discovery,and layout of deepwater oil and gas exploration business by seven major international oil companies are systematically analyzed using commercial databases(e.g.S&P Global and Rystad)and public information of oil companies.The deepwater area is currently the most important domain for global oil and gas exploration and discovery,with the most discoveries and reserves in passive continental margin basins.The deepwater discoveries have the greatest contribution to the total newly discovered oil and gas reserves in the sea areas,with an increasing number of lithological reservoirs discovered,and oil and gas discoveries mainly distributed in the Mesozoic-Cenozoic.The seven major international oil companies are widely active in various aspects of deepwater oil and gas exploration and development,and play a leading role.Based on years of theoretical understanding of global oil and gas geology and resource evaluation,it is proposed that favorable deepwater exploration areas in the future will mainly focus on three major areas:the Atlantic coast,the Indian Ocean periphery,and the Arctic Ocean periphery.Six suggestions are put forward for expanding overseas deepwater oil and gas exploration business:first,expand the sources for obtaining multi-user seismic data and improve the scientific selection of deepwater exploration areas;second,increase efforts to obtain deepwater exploration projects in key areas;third,adopt various methods to access into/exit from resource licenses flexibly;fourth,acquire licenses with large equity and operate in“dual-exploration”model;fifth,strengthen cooperation with leading international oil companies in deepwater technology;and sixth,improve business operation capabilities and gradually transform from“non-operators”to“operators”.

关 键 词：世界含油气盆地 深水 油气 勘探形势 国际油公司 有利勘探领域 

分 类 号：TE122.2[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]