城市基础设施与经济发展协同度评价及其敏感性分析——以中国84个重点城市为例  

Evaluation and Sensitivity Analysis of Synergy Degree between Urban Infrastructure and Economic Development:A Case Study of 84 Key Cities in China

作　　者：王昊[1] 朱淑贤 韦茜 王志锋[1] 冯长春[2] WANG Hao;ZHU Shuxian;WEI Qian;WANG Zhifeng;FENG Changchun(School of Management Science and Engineering,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081,China;College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学管理科学与工程学院,北京100081 [2]北京大学城市与环境学院,北京100871

出　　处：《经济地理》2023年第8期21-30,共10页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72074240);教育部人文社会科学基金项目(19YJCZH154);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金;中央财经大学科研创新团队支持计划。

摘　　要：基于协同理论,构建城市基础设施与经济发展复合系统协同度模型,选取2013-2021年全国84个重点城市的面板数据,对其基础设施建设与经济发展复合系统的协同度进行实证研究,并在城市和地理区两个层面对城市基础设施中的相关序参量进行敏感性分析。结果表明:2013—2021年全国84个重点城市复合系统的协同度大多分布在[-0.2,0.4]范围内;各城市及地理区的协同发展情况和内在特征不一;城市基础设施有序度的变化是影响复合系统协同度的关键因素。Based on the synergy theory,this paper develops a synergy model of the composite system between urban infrastructure and economic development,selects the panel data of 84 key cities in China from 2013 to 2021,and makes an empirical study on the synergy degree of the composite system between infrastructure construction and economic development.It conducts the sensitivity analysis of the relevant order parameters in urban infrastructure at both city and geographic area levels.The results show that the synergy degree of the composite system of urban infrastructure and economic development in 84 key cities in China is mostly distributed in the range of[-0.2,0.4].Meanwhile,the synergistic development and intrinsic characteristics vary across cities and geographic areas,and the changes in degree of order of urban infrastructure is a key factor affecting the synergy of composite systems.

关 键 词：城市基础设施 经济发展 复合系统 协同度模型 协调发展评价 敏感度 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]