中部六省新型城镇化与旅游高质量发展的动态关系研究  

Study on the Dynamic Relationship between New Urbanization and High-quality Tourism Development in Six Central Provinces

作　　者：陈家怡 Chen Jiayi(School of Tourism Management,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou Henan 450001,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州大学旅游管理学院,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《国土与自然资源研究》2023年第6期67-71,共5页Territory & Natural Resources Study

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“基于新经济地理学的藏羌彝走廊文化产业集聚动力机制及政策研究”(71974155);西安市社会科学规划基金一般项目“技术与制度协同创新驱动的西安文化产业高质量发展机制研究”(WL178)。

摘　　要：新型城镇化和旅游高质量发展相互关联,两者之间存在复杂的动态关系。本研究以中部六省为例,基于熵权法构建评价体系,用以衡量2001-2019年近20年中部六省新型城镇化和旅游高质量发展水平,通过PVAR模型探讨新型城镇化和旅游高质量发展的动态关系。研究结果显示,中部六省各省新型城镇化与旅游高质量发展之间存在协整关系,说明中部六省各省新型城镇化与旅游高质量发展之间存在一定相互影响动态关系。其中,新型城镇化对旅游高质量发展具有一定的滞后性,而旅游高质量发展对新型城镇化具有一定的促进作用,且两者之间的影响具有一定的持续性。新型城镇化与旅游高质量发展对自身均呈现显著的正向响应,其中旅游高质量发展对自身的下降趋势最为明显。基于熵值法和PVAR模型中部六省新型城镇化与旅游高质量发展的动态关系研究为中部六省相关研究提供了新视角,对中部六省城镇化和旅游业的发展具有指导意义。URB and TR are interrelated,and there is a complex dynamic relationship between them.Taking six central provinces as an example,this study builds an evaluation system based on entropy weight method to measure the level of new urbanization and high-quality tourism development in six central provinces in recent 20 years from 2001 to 2019,and explores the dynamic relationship between URB and TR through PVAR model.The results show that there is a cointegration relationship between URB and TR development in six provinces of central China,which indicates that there is a dynamic relationship between URB and TR in six provinces of central China.Among them,URB has a certain lag to the high-quality development of TR,while TR has a certain promoting effect on URB,and the influence between them has a certain persist.Both URB and TR have a significant positive response to themselves,among which the TR has the most obvious downward trend to itself.Based on entropy method and PVAR model,the dynamic relationship between new urbanization and high-quality tourism development in six central provinces provides a new perspective for related research in six central provinces,and has guiding significance for URB and TR development in six central provinces.

关 键 词：中部六省 新型城镇化 旅游高质量发展 动态关系 

分 类 号：F592.3[经济管理—旅游管理]