乌克兰危机背景下美国缓和委内瑞拉石油工业制裁研判  

Analysis on the US Easing Sanctions on Venezuela's Oil Sector under the Ukrainian Crisis

作　　者：谢盛松 Xie Shengsong(SINOPEC Group General Administration Department,Beijing 100728,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石油化工集团有限公司综合管理部,北京100728

出　　处：《当代石油石化》2023年第9期11-15,共5页Petroleum & Petrochemical Today

摘　　要：近20年来,美国不断升级加码对委内瑞拉石油工业制裁,以长臂管辖方式干扰其国内政局、破坏国民经济。乌克兰危机发生以来,全球能源市场供给侧遭受剧烈冲击,国际油气价格高位震荡,美西方国家通货膨胀高企。受此影响,美国低调地放松了对委内瑞拉等产油国的制裁,考虑到美国内政阻力和委内瑞拉政局不确定性、短期内资源上产空间有限等因素,预计缓和制裁不会对国际原油供给侧带来实质性影响。宜对美国缓和制裁委内瑞拉情况保持跟踪,前瞻性研判全球原油供给侧格局重塑形势,提前部署应对措施,加强与相关各方的战略互动,多元化提升我国能源安全保障能力。In the past 20 years,the United States has continuously escalated its sanctions on Venezuela's oil sector,interfering with Venezuela’s domestic political situation and damaging the national economy through long-arm jurisdiction.Since the outbreak of the Ukrainian crisis,the supply side of global energy market has suffered a severe impact,with high-level fluctuation of international oil and gas prices,as well as high inflation in the United States and Western countries.Under such influence,the United States has quietly eased its sanctions on oil-producing countries like Venezuela.Considering such factors as domestic resistance in the United States,political uncertainty in Venezuela,and limited short-term production space,it is expected that easing sanctions will not have a substantial impact on the international crude oil supply side.It is advisable to keep track of the easing of sanctions by the United States on Venezuela,conduct forward-looking analysis on the reshaping of the situation about global crude oil supply side,deploy response measures in advance,strengthen strategic interactions with relevant parties,and pluralistic enhance China's energy security.

关 键 词：乌克兰危机 委内瑞拉 原油供给侧 石油制裁 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济]