数字经济何以影响村民就地就业?——基于CFPS数据的实证分析  

How Digital Economy Affect Local Employment:An Empirical Analysis Based on CFPS Data

作　　者：吴孔亮 方军[1] WU Kongliang;FANG Jun(School of Finance and Public Administration,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233040,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学财政与公共管理学院,安徽蚌埠233040

出　　处：《重庆文理学院学报（社会科学版）》2023年第5期18-31,共14页Journal of Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences（Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“淮河生态经济带高质量绿色发展模式及其实现路径”(19BJL01S);安徽省高校人文社会科学重点项目“安徽省农民参与乡村治理的制度建构精细化研究”(SK2021A0245);安徽省社会科学规划重点项目“贫困地区全面脱贫及其发展振兴长效机制研究”(AHSKX2X2020D02)。

摘　　要：乡村人才振兴背景下,如何破解当前农村人才外流的窘境、吸引村民就地就业是农村建设的必答之问。基于2016—2020年的中国省域数字经济指数和CFPS数据,运用Logistic模型分析数字经济对村民就业空间选择的影响机制。研究结果表明,总体上,数字经济对村民就地就业选择具有显著的促进作用。其构成要素上,数字公共服务的影响效应最为突出,系数效应值为0.102;数字基础设施指数和数字化应用指数对村民就地就业意愿呈现显著的正向影响,系数效应值为0.044和0.053;而数字产业发展指数的影响系数为-0.042,表现出对村民就地就业意愿的抑制作用。各数字要素内部的具体指标呈现出犬牙差互的影响格局,其影响系数在10%的置信水平下基本显著,与一级数字要素总体表现出一致的影响效应。有鉴于此,应当提升农村数字基础设施涵容度,多元化农村数字化应用场景;完善农村数字化公共服务;加大农村数字产业发展的投资力度;加强就业政策引导;培养农村本土数字化人才。Under the background of agricultural and rural talents revitalization,how to solve the current dilemma of rural talent outflow and attract local employment of villagers is a necessary question for rural construction.Based on China’s provincial digital economic index and CFPS data from 2016 to 2020,the logistic model was applied to analyze the impact mechanism of digital economic development on villagers’employment space choice.The results show that,on the whole,digital economy can significantly promote the local employment choice of villagers.In terms of its constituent elements,the impact of digital public services is the most prominent,with a coefficient effect value of 0.102.The digital infrastructure index and digital application index show a significant positive impact,with coefficient effect values of 0.044 and 0.053,and the impact coefficient of the digital industry development index is -0.042,which shows the inhibition effect on the local employment willingness of villagers.The specific indicators within each digital element show a pattern of mutual influence of canine differences.The influence coefficient is basically significant at the 10% confidence level,which is consistent with the influence effect of the first level digital elements.In view of this,the capacity of rural digital infrastructure should be improved and the rural digital application scenarios should be diversified;the rural digital public services should be improved,investment to be increased in the development of rural digital industry,the guidance of employment policy to be strengthened,and local digital talents in rural areas to be cultivated.

关 键 词：数字经济 就地就业 农村居民 

分 类 号：F293.1[经济管理—国民经济]