中国农民子女进城就学决策的收入门槛效应研究  

Income threshold effect on Chinese farmers'decision-making about their children's pursuit of urban education

作　　者：王若男 阮荣平[2] 朱佳 郑风田[2] WANG Ruonan;RUAN Rongping;ZHU Jia;ZHENG Fengtian(Research Institute for Ecological Civilization,Sichuan Academy of Social Sciences,Chengdu 610072,China;School of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China;ICBC Postdoctoral Research Station,Beijing,100031,China)

机构地区：[1]四川省社会科学院生态文明研究所,四川成都610072 [2]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京100872 [3]中国工商银行博士后科研工作站,北京100031

出　　处：《湖南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第5期55-63,共9页Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(21ZDA059);国家自然科学基金面上项目(72073134);绿色创新发展四川软科学研究基地系列成果之一。

摘　　要：基于中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)7617个农民家庭样本,采用门槛效应模型分析家庭收入对中国农民子女进城就学决策的影响。研究发现:家庭收入对农民子女进城就学决策具有门槛效应,收入门槛值处于较高水平;家庭收入低于门槛值对进城就学决策影响不显著,超过门槛值时对进城就学决策具有显著正向影响;不同情境下农民子女进城就学的收入门槛值存在异质性,其中小学阶段高于初中阶段,跨县域高于县域内,同步方式高于非同步方式。据此,应通过完善农业转移人口教育成本分摊机制进一步降低农民子女进城就学收入门槛,并针对不同情况实施差异化进城就学扶持政策。Based on a sample of 7617 rural households from the Chinese Family Panel Studies(CFPS),this study employs a threshold effect model to analyze the impact of household income on the Chinese farmers'decision-making about their children's going to school in cities.The research findings indicate that household income exhibits a threshold effect,with the income threshold set at a relatively high level.When household income falls below the threshold,its influence on the farmers'decision about their children's pursuit of urban education is insignificant;however,once it surpasses the threshold,it has a significantly positive impact on the decision.Furthermore,the study identifies heterogeneity in the income thresholds for Chinese farmers'children to pursue urban education under different circumstances:with the income threshold higher for primary education compared with secondary education,for inter-county migration as opposed to within-country migration,and for synchronous enrollment rather than asynchronous migration.In light of these findings,it is recommended to further reduce the income threshold for farmers'children to study in cities by refining the educational cost-sharing mechanism for agricultural migrant populations.Additionally,tailored policies for supporting urban education should be implemented based on specific circumstances.

关 键 词：农民子女 进城就学 家庭收入 门槛效应模型 家庭策略 

分 类 号：C912.82[经济管理]