日本社会稳定性新变化探析  

Analyses of New Changes in Japan’s Social Stability

作　　者：吴限[1] 孟明铭 WU Xian;MENG Mingming

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院日本研究所,北京100007

出　　处：《东北亚学刊》2023年第5期99-113,149,共16页Journal of Northeast Asia Studies

摘　　要：当前日本社会正面临诸多深刻的社会问题:急速少子老龄化引发“人口结构失衡”;中产阶层“下流化”、贫困化;贫富差距拉大诱发高失业率、自杀率和犯罪率,从而引发“伦理道德失序”等。此外,自然灾害与安全事故频发,福岛核污染持续扩散与新冠疫情冲击等各种消极因素的叠加影响,也在弱化日本政府的治理能力,消耗着“安心社会”时期积累的资源禀赋和社会稳定基础。日本滑向“风险社会”的进程加剧,其外溢效应助推日本政治更加右倾保守化,发展方向充满不确定性,中日关系恐将受到冲击而趋于复杂多变。Japanese society is faced with a number of profound social problems at the current stage,such as the population structure imbalance caused by the rapid reduction of children and aging;increasingly class-declining and impoverishing of the middle class,the high unemployment,suicide,and crime rates due to the widening of the wealth gap,causing“the moral disorder”.Coupled with the superposition of various negative factors,such as the frequent natural disasters and safety accidents,the continued spread of Fukushima nuclear pollution and the impact of COVID-19,the governance capacity of the Japanese government has been gradually weakened,consuming the resource endowment and social stability foundation accumulated during the“peaceful period of society”.The process of Japan's recession into a“risk society”has been intensified.The right-deviationist conservation of Japan's politics is driven by its spillover effect.The development direction is also full of uncertainty,which may impact China-Japan relations as well as make it become more complicated and volatile.

关 键 词：日本社会 稳定性 风险社会 右倾保守 中日关系 

分 类 号：D731.3[政治法律—政治学]