劳动收入份额变化对我国体育用品出口影响的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on Impact of Change of Labor Income Share on China's Sports Goods Export

作　　者：崔惠斌[1] 宋婷婷 CUI Huibin;SONG Tingting(School of Environment,South China Normal University,Guangzhou Guangdong,510006;School of International Business,South China Normal University,Guangzhou Guangdong,510631)

机构地区：[1]华南师范大学环境学院,广东广州510006 [2]华南师范大学国际商学院,广东广州510631

出　　处：《湖北体育科技》2023年第9期753-757,共5页Hubei Sports Science

基　　金：国家自然基金项目(71673063)。

摘　　要：劳动收入份额的变化会通过劳动生产率、总需求等来影响体育用品出口贸易。本文从我国劳动收入份额变化和体育用品出口贸易的特征化事实入手,基于Bhaduri-Marglin模型分析劳动收入份额对体育用品出口作用效应,采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL模型)对劳动收入份额变化对体育用品出口贸易的长短期影响进行实证考察。研究发现:劳动收入份额变化会通过消费需求效应、出口竞争力效应、劳动生产率效应对我国体育用品出口贸易产生影响,从短期来看,劳动收入份额每降低1%,会促进我国体育用品出口增加5.51%。为促进体育用品产业发展,应保持合适的劳动收入份额,兼顾体育用品的出口与内销,加大体育用品制造业科技投入,持续技术创新,降低劳动投入,提高劳动生产率。The change of labor income share will affect the export trade of sports goods through labor productivity,aggregate demand and so on.Based on the characteristic fact of the change of labor income share and the export trade of sporting goods,this paper analyzes the effect of labor income share on the export of sporting goods based on Bhaduri-Marglin model,and uses the autoregressive distributed lag model(ARDL model)to conduct an empirical study on the long-term and short-term impact of labor income share change on the export trade of sporting goods.The study found that the change of labor income share will have an impact on the export trade of sports goods through the effect of consumption demand,export competitiveness and labor productivity.In the short term,every 1%decrease of labor income share will promote the increase of sports goods export by 5.51%.In order to promote the development of sports goods industry,it is necessary to maintain an appropriate share of labor income,take into account the export and domestic sales of sports goods,increase scientific and technological investment in sports goods manufacturing industry,continue technological innovation,reduce labor input and improve labor productivity.

关 键 词：体育产业 体育用品出口 劳动收入份额 自回归分布滞后模型 

分 类 号：G812.78[文化科学—体育学]