基于主动防控策略的城市轨道交通风险点集构建方法研究  

Research on Construction Method of Urban Rail Transit Risk Point Set Based on Active Prevention and Control Strategy

作　　者：郑凤霞 李冲 苏宏明 王艳辉[2,3,4,5,6] ZHENG Fengxia;LI Chong;SU Hongming;WANG Yanhui(Beijing Jingcheng Metro Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 101300,China;School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;State Key Laboratory of Advanced Rail Autonomous Operation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;Beijing Research Center of Urban Traffic Information Sensing and Service Technologies,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;Transportation Industry R&D Center for Urban Rail Transit Operation Safety Management Technology and Equipment,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;Key Laboratory of Railway Industry for Operational Active Safety Assurance and Risk Prevention and Control,Beijing 100044,China)

机构地区：[1]北京京城地铁有限公司,北京101300 [2]北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044 [3]北京交通大学先进轨道交通自主运行全国重点实验室,北京100044 [4]北京交通大学北京市城市交通信息智能感知与服务工程技术研究中心,北京100044 [5]北京交通大学城市轨道交通运营安全管理技术及装备交通运输行业研发中心,北京100044 [6]运营主动安全保障与风险防控铁路行业重点实验室,北京100044

出　　处：《铁路技术创新》2023年第3期10-16,共7页Railway Technical Innovation

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目(2020YFB1600701)。

摘　　要：针对城市轨道交通运营全过程,首先对风险和风险点等基本含义进行了梳理,明确主动防控的内涵,提出以风险点辨识、风险点关联分析和风险点排查治理为主要方法的主动防控策略,结合城轨运营现状对风险点按照IFOSE方法重新进行分类,采用主客观结合的条件判断法作为风险点辨识方法,辨识的关键包括事故报告记录的城轨运营组分、维修过程中故障率较高的组分单元以及运营过程中与其他组分关联度较高的组分节点,构建了基础设施类、运营设备类、运行调度类、车站组织类和运营环境类风险点集,为城轨运营管理中进行风险主动防控提供目标对象和方法指导。Aiming at the whole process of urban rail transit operation,this paper firstly sorts out the basic meanings of risks and risk points,clarifies the connotation of active prevention and control,and puts forward an active prevention and control strategy with risk point identification,risk point correlation analysis and risk point investigation and management as the main methods.In combination with the current situation of urban rail transit operation,risk points are reclassified according to IFOSE method,and subjective and objective conditional judgment method is adopted as the risk point identification method.The key to identification includes the urban rail operation components recorded in accident reports,component units with high failure rate during maintenance and component nodes with high correlation with other components during operation.Risk point sets of infrastructure,operation equipment,operation dispatching,station organization and operation environment are constructed to provide guidance on target objects and methods for active risk prevention and control in urban rail operation management.

关 键 词：运营安全 风险主动防控 风险辨识 风险点集 城轨组分 城市轨道交通 

分 类 号：U231.92[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]