基于信任度计算的智能电网终端活跃用户数量预测方法  

A method for predicting the number of active users in smart grid terminal based on trust calculation

作　　者：黎炜敏 LI Weimin(China Southern Power Grid Digital Grid Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Guangzhou 510700,China)

机构地区：[1]南方电网数字电网研究院有限公司,广东广州510700

出　　处：《电子设计工程》2023年第20期182-185,190,共5页Electronic Design Engineering

摘　　要：为了准确预测电网终端活跃用户数量,提出了基于信任度计算的智能电网终端活跃用户数量预测方法。在智能电网终端数据处理器、微处理器硬件结构分析的基础上,依据获取的智能电网终端的相关数据,构建信任网络模型,采用信任度计算方法计算不同用户之间的关联程度,得到模型中用户喜爱的正态分布,实现智能电网终端活跃用户数量预测。实验结果表明,所提方法在用户不活跃度、活跃数量以及用户活跃时态分析下,都具有较高的预测准确性,有效提高了用户数量预测效果。In order to accurately predict the number of active end users in power grid,a method for predicting the number of active users in smart grid terminal based on trust calculation is proposed.Based on the analysis of the hardware structure of smart grid terminal data processor and microprocessor,and according to the relevant data of smart grid terminals obtained,the trust network model is constructed.The trust calculation method is used to calculate the correlation degree between different users,obtain the normal distribution of users’love in the model,and realize the prediction of the number of active users of smart grid terminals.The experimental results show that the proposed method has high prediction accuracy under the analysis of user inactivity,active number and user active tense,and effectively improves the prediction effect of user number.

关 键 词：信任度计算 智能电网终端 活跃用户 活跃时态 

分 类 号：TM734[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]