俄罗斯在后苏联空间国家的经济存在及影响研究(2001~2021年)  

Russias Economic Existence and Influence in Countries of the Post-Soviet Space over the Period 2001-2021

作　　者：赵亮 Zhao Liang

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学

出　　处：《欧亚经济》2023年第4期76-95,126,共21页Journal of Eurasian Economy

基　　金：教育部高校国别与区域研究2022年度项目“俄乌冲突对世界能源供需格局的影响与中俄能源合作研究”(项目编号:2022-N25);新疆社会科学基金项目“国际陆港联盟建设促进新疆外贸高质量发展研究”(项目编号:22CYJ008);2023年度新疆财经大学高层次人才专项“新变局下俄罗斯对华能源及贸易合作的战略考量与前景研究”(项目编号:XJCD20230008)。

摘　　要：苏联解体以来,俄罗斯视后苏联空间国家为其地缘政治经济利益的优先方向,不断加强在这些国家的经济存在。从双边贸易、直接投资、移民等方面的数据可以看出,普京执政20年来,俄在后苏联空间国家的经济中占主导地位。从国别看,对俄能源进口需求大、参与俄主导的欧亚经济联盟以及对俄劳务输出较多的后苏联空间国家对俄的经济依附性较强,而对俄能源需求较小、与俄存在政治分歧的后苏联空间国家对俄经济依附性较低。从变化趋势看,后苏联空间各国对俄的经济依附程度不断下降,2014年乌克兰危机后出现加速。尽管俄对后苏联空间国家经济和人力资本的发展发挥着重要作用,但俄主导下的区域生产分工网络却不利于这些国家的经济现代化,原因是俄罗斯并不具备作为分工中心的技术创新能力、市场容量和资本供给能力。Since the dissolution of the former Soviet Union,Russia has been perceiving the post-Soviet space as the priority of its geopolitical and economic interests and strengthening its economic existence in these countries.The data regarding bilateral trade,direct investment,and immigration reveal that Russia has been holding a dominant role in the post-Soviet countries among which the countries rely more heavily on Russia if they are in high demand for Russias energy import,participated in the Eurasian Economic Union dominated by Russia,and have a greater share of labor export to Russia.However,countries relying less on Russia are those in less demand for energy and with political divergence.Regarding the dynamic trend,the reliance of countries in the post-Soviet space on Russia keeps decreasing and this trend has been accelerating since the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis.The regional network for the division of labor dominated by Russia is not favorable for the economic modernization of the CIS states as Russia is not possessed of the abilities of technological innovation,market capacity,and capital supply.

关 键 词：俄罗斯 后苏联空间 经济存在 地缘战略 

分 类 号：F151.2[经济管理—世界经济]