基于偏离-份额分析法的林业“双化”路径研究  

Shift-Share and Principal Component Analysis of Forestry Industry and Competitiveness of Its Constituent Factors in Guangxi,China

作　　者：谭桂菲 王光军[2] 陈崇征[1] 夏亦康 陈丽 唐庆[1] TAN Guifei;WANG Guangjun;CHEN Chongzheng;XIA Yikang;CHEN Li;TANG Qing(Guangxi Forestry Research Institute,Nanning 530002,China;College of Life Science and Technology,Central South University of Forestry and Technology,Changsha 410004,China;Forestry Bureau,Guangxi Zhuang Autonmous Region,Nanning 530016,China)

机构地区：[1]广西壮族自治区林业科学研究院,南宁530002 [2]中南林业科技大学生命科学与技术学院,长沙410004 [3]广西壮族自治区林业局,南宁530016

出　　处：《西南大学学报（自然科学版）》2023年第10期110-118,共9页Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：2021年广西壮族自治区科技厅重点研发计划项目(桂科AB21220026)。

摘　　要：“产业生态化和生态产业化”实质是通过提高产业生态效率推动产业结构优化升级.广西作为林业大省具有发展林业的优越条件,研究分析林业产业结构优化对推动绿水青山向金山银山转化具有重要意义.该文运用偏离-份额分析法和主成分分析法,分析广西林业产业结构及构成要素.结果表明:近20年来广西林业产业结构已呈现出“二、三、一”模式取代原来的“二、一、三”模式,开始从以数量扩张为主转化为以素质提高为主;形成了木材加工和木竹藤棕苇制品制造、经济林产品种植与采集、林业旅游与休闲服务等优势要素,但林木育种和育苗、林业专业技术服务和林业生态服务等产业要素仍然处于劣势,显示出该区构成要素发展极不均衡.据此,提出以下建议:突出发展优势要素,构建高质量林业产业结构;合理培育潜力产业,实施生态化改造;实行科技创新,全方位推动林业生态化发展.The essence of industrial ecologicalization and ecological industrialization is to promote the optimization and upgrade of the industrial structure by improving industrial ecological efficiency.Guangxi is a key forestry province in China with superior conditions for the development of the forestry industry.It is of great significance to study and analyze the Guangxi forestry industry and its 17 constituent factors using Shift-Share analysis and Principal Component analysis.The results show that the Guangxi forestry industry structure has gradually changed from a“one-two-three”to a“two-three-one”mode,and has begun to shift from quantity expansion to quality improvement.The dominant components are wood processing,and manufacturing of bamboo,rattan and palm reed products,and forestry tourism,and timber and bamboo harvesting and transportation,and planting of economic forest products,and manufacturing of forest chemical products.The potential industries include flowers and other ornamental plants,processing and manufacturing of non-wood forest products,wood bamboo reed paper products,and forestry production services,indicating that the development of constituent factors is extremely unbalanced.Based on these findings,the following suggestions are proposed:highlight the advantages of the development of the dominant components to build a high-quality forestry industry structure;cultivate potential industries reasonably and implement ecological transformation;carry out scientific and technological innovation to promote all-round forestry ecological development.This study provides data and theoretical support for promoting the optimization and upgrade of the forestry industry structure and sustainable development in Guangxi Province.

关 键 词：偏离-份额分析法 主成分分析法 林业产业结构 产业生态化 生态产业化 广西 

分 类 号：F326.2[经济管理—产业经济]