流通业智能化对城乡消费不平等影响的空间计量分析  

Spatial Econometric Analysis of the Influence of the Intelligent Development of Circulation Industry on Consumption Inequality between Urban and Rural Residents

作　　者：李铮[1] 孟昊芸 LI Zheng;MENG Hao-yun(School of Economics and Finance,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an 710049,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710049

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2023年第10期3-13,共11页China Business and Market

摘　　要：缓解城乡消费不平等有助于居民消费增长、经济发展及社会稳定。流通业为缩小区域差异提供运输基础,在数字化转型的趋势下具备空间效应。基于2007—2020年我国31个省份(未包括香港、澳门、台湾地区)的面板数据,在地理邻接空间权重矩阵的基础上构建伴有时间固定效应的空间杜宾模型,探索我国流通业智能化对城乡消费不平等的空间影响效应。研究发现,流通业智能化具有显著的空间溢出效应:流通业智能化不仅可以缓解当地城乡消费不平等状况,还有助于邻近地区城乡均衡发展。在更换空间计量模型、替换被解释变量、剔除直辖市样本及改变样本观测期后,该结果仍具有稳健性。此外,该影响具有区域异质性,在东部地区影响最小,在西部地区影响最大。机制检验结果表明:流通业智能化可以通过促进网上交易的发展拓展农村居民的购物方式及渠道,进而缓解区域城乡消费不平等问题。因此,需要推动农村地区流通业数字化转型及城乡流通一体化发展,实施区域协调发展战略,推动农村地区网上交易发展,以缓解当地及周边地区城乡消费不平等问题,促进共同富裕战略目标的实现。Alleviating urban-rural consumption inequality is conducive to the growth of citizens'consumption,economic growth,and social stability.The circulation industry plays a pivotal role in mitigating regional disparities,and it has the spacial effect in the trend of digital transformation.Based on panel data from 31 provinces(except Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan),spanning from 2007 to 2020,a spatial Durbin two-way fixed effects model is used as the empirical model,and this model demonstrates a substantial spatial spillover effect resulting from the intelligent development of the circulation industry.Specifically,it positively influences the reduction of urban-rural consumption inequality while facilitating balanced growth in neighboring urban and rural areas.Multiple tests,such as changing the space measurement model,replacing the explained variables,excluding municipalities,and changing the sample observation period,confirm the robustness of the findings.Furthermore,this impact exhibits regional heterogeneity,with the least effect in the eastern region and most significant effect in the western region.Mechanism analysis reveals that the intelligentization of the circulation industry stimulates purchasing opportunities and channels for rural residents,primarily through the advancement of online trading.Consequently,this process contributes to the alleviation of issues associated with urban-rural consumption inequality.Based on these evidences,it is crucial for the rural circulation industry to expedite their digital transformation,while governments should implement coordinated regional development strategies,and promote online trading in rural areas to address the issue comprehensively,while working towards the strategic objective of common prosperity.

关 键 词：流通业智能化 城乡消费不平等 空间溢出效应 网上交易 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济]