中国对RCEP伙伴国文化产品出口影响因素及潜力分析——基于贸易引力模型的实证研究  

Analysis on Influencing Factors and Potential of China's Export of Cultural Products to RCEP Partner Countries-An Empirical Study Based on Trade Gravity Model

作　　者：蔡椰萍 魏雪莲[1] Cai Yeping;Wei Xuelian(Jinshan College of Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University,Fujian Fuzhou 350002)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学金山学院,福建福州350002

出　　处：《对外经贸》2023年第10期10-14,共5页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

基　　金：2022年福建省级大学生创新训练计划项目“创新驱动下福建省文化产业高质量发展研究”(项目编号:S202214046013);福建省省级一流本科专业建设点(项目编号:yx220202);省级一流课程“进出口贸易实务”(项目编号:yx220211)。

摘　　要：分析中国对RCEP伙伴国文化产品出口现状,基于2008—2021年中国对RCEP伙伴国文化产品出口的面板数据,构建引力模型,并进行贸易潜力分析,研究证明:国际贸易自由度、人口、文化距离、RCEP伙伴国人均GDP、我国人均GDP、汇率、国际文化产品进口额均对中国文化产品出口RCEP伙伴国有显著影响,提出进一步优化我国文化产品结构、加快促进贸易便利化、充分开发与RCEP成员国文化产品市场潜力等建议。After analyzing the current situation of China's exports of cultural products to RCEP partner countries,based on panel data of China's exports of cultural products to RCEP partner countries from 2008 to 2021,a gravity model is constructed and trade potential analysis is conducted.The research proves that:international trade freedom,population,cultural distance,per capita GDP of RCEP partner countries,per capita GDP of China,exchange rate,and international imports of cultural products have significant impacts on China's exports of cultural products to RCEP partner countries.Suggestions are also proposed to further optimize the structure of China's cultural products,accelerate trade facilitation,and fully develop the market potential of cultural products withRCEPpartner countries.

关 键 词：中国 RCEP 文化产品出口 影响因素 潜力分析 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]