美国统一预报系统研发进展和展望  

Progress and Prospect in Developing the Unified Forecast System in USA

作　　者：唐伟[1] 于丹 肖芳[1] 贾朋群[1] Tang Wei;Yu Dan;Xiao Fang;Jia Pengqun(CMA Institute for Development and Programme Design,Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京100081

出　　处：《气象科技进展》2023年第4期114-120,共7页Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology

基　　金：中国气象局2023年度气象软科学自主项目(20);中国气象局2023年度气象软科学重点项目(13)。

摘　　要：简要阐述了美国研发下一代统一预报系统的背景、目标和主要进展,总结了其采用的开放式研发机制和取得的初步成效;分析了新形势下中国数值预报模式研发面临的机遇和挑战;借鉴美国的经验提出对中国数值预报模式研发的启示。This article offers a concise overview of the backgrounds,objectives and significant advancements in the research and development of the next-generation unified forecast system in the United States.It provides a summary of the open development mechanisms utilized and the preliminary accomplishments attained in UFS.It also analyzes the opportunities and challenges that China faces in numerical weather prediction model research and development in light of new circumstances.Drawing upon the experience of the United States,this paper presents suggestions to inspire further progress in numerical weather prediction model research and development in China.

关 键 词：数值天气预报 统一预报系统 研发机制 

分 类 号：P456.7[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]