人口与产业耦合协调度对农民收入增长的影响  

Influence of Coupling Coordination Degree of Population and Industry on Farmers’Income Growth

作　　者：宋元梁[1] 张亲脑 SONG Yuanliang;ZHANG Qinnao(School of Economics and Management,Xi’an Technological University,Xi’an 710021,China;School of Marxism,Xi’an Technological University,Xi’an 710021,China)

机构地区：[1]西安工业大学经济管理学院,西安710021 [2]西安工业大学马克思主义学院,西安710021

出　　处：《西安工业大学学报》2023年第5期512-518,共7页Journal of Xi’an Technological University

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学基金项目(17XJA790005)。

摘　　要：为了探究人口与产业协调发展促进农民收入持续增长,人口与产业耦合协调度对农民收入增长产生的影响。以西北五省(区)为研究对象,依据2000-2020年人口与产业协调发展的相关数据,运用耦合模型对其人口与产业耦合协调度进行测算,采用面板数据和面板回归方法对该地域农民人均可支配收入的影响因素进行分析。研究结果表明:人口与产业的耦合协调度对西北五省(区)农民人均可支配收入有显著正影响;影响农民人均可支配收入的重要因素有城镇居民的失业率、进出口总额等。因而,加快产业结构升级、提高人口素质和加大对外贸易等,对西北地区农民收入持续增长具有重大战略意义。The coordinated development of population and industry will promote the sustainable growth of farmers’income.In order to investigate how the coupling coordination degree of population and industry influences the growth of farmers'income,the paper makes a measurement of the coupling coordination degree of population and industry using a coupling model based on the relevant data of the five northwestern provinces(autonomous regions)from 2000 to 2020.By panel data and panel regression method,the factors influencing the per capita disposable income of farmers in this region are explored.The results show that the coupling coordination degree of population and industry has a significant positive effect on the per capita disposable income of farmers in the five provinces(autonomous regions)and that the unemployment rate of urban residents and the total import and export volume are the important factors.Therefore,accelerating the upgrading of industrial structure,improving the quality of the population and increasing foreign trade are of great strategic significance to the sustained growth of farmers’income in Northwest China.

关 键 词：人口结构 产业结构 耦合协调度 农民人均可支配收入 西北地区 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济] C924.2[社会学—人口学]