负重前行:经济增长压力的收入分配效应——基于企业劳动收入份额的视角  

Going Forward with Heavy Burden:The Income Distribution Effects of Economic Growth Pressure

作　　者：詹新宇 张榕芳 徐丹丹[3] ZHAN Xinyu;ZHANG Rongfang;XU Dandan(School of International Economics and Management,Beijing Technology and Business University;School of Public Finance and Taxation,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law;School of Economics,Beijing Technology and Business University)

机构地区：[1]北京工商大学国际经管学院 [2]中南财经政法大学财政税务学院 [3]北京工商大学经济学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2023年第10期27-50,共24页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：研究阐释党的二十大精神国家社会科学基金重大项目(23ZDA027);中南财经政法大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项中研究生科研创新平台项目(202310404)的资助。

摘　　要：实现宏观经济持续稳定增长,是缩小收入分配差距的重要基础。但当做大“蛋糕”的压力持续增加、内生动力不足时,势必给分好“蛋糕”的政策目标带来挑战。为此,本文从经济增长目标管理视角构建增长压力测度指标,从理论模型和实证分析两个层面考察了经济增长压力与劳动收入份额的内在关系。研究结果显示,经济增长压力负向影响劳动收入份额,并且通过了一系列稳健性检验。机制分析发现,经济增长压力迫使地方政府在降低企业实际税负的同时,大力增加公共支出规模,但这些积极财政政策客观上扭曲了辖区企业既有要素投入结构,提高了资本密集度,进而降低了劳动收入份额。这一结论在城市经济增长压力感知与压力转嫁、企业间与企业内压力承担等方面,都存在着显著异质性。本研究不仅为探讨我国劳动收入份额的变动机理提供了新视角,也为新时代完善宏观经济治理模式、深化企业内部收入分配制度改革提出了政策启示。At present,China’s development is facing many pressures and challenges,making it more difficult to keep the economy running smoothly.The external environment is complex and volatile,with global inflation still at a high level,the momentum of growth in the world economy and trade weakening,and various negative external shocks continuing to rise.The foundation for stable growth of the domestic economy still needs to be consolidated,and insufficient demand remains a prominent contradiction.Investment growth has slowed down;consumption growth has fallen;and export demand is low.Thus,the three engines pulling economic growth have all suffered from a lack of power.Moreover,China is still in the catching-up phase of its economic development and the critical phase of its climb to a high-income economy,so the rate of economic growth remains a crucial global economic variable.The expected target for China’s economic growth rate in 2023 is approximately 5%,which is medium-to high-speed growth from a high base and requires hard work to achieve.In the face of multiple pressures on the Chinese economy at home and abroad,the importance of maintaining the necessary economic growth rate has become more prominent.Meanwhile,the income gap among Chinese residents has always hovered at a high level,and under the existing economic pattern,the higher income gap will be a long-term trend,which poses a challenge to the policy objective of narrowing the income distribution gap.CPCCC’s proposals for the formulation of the 14th Five-Year Plan(2021-2025)for National Economic and Social Development and the Long-Range Objectives Through the Year 2035 suggest that people will lead a better life,and more notable and substantial progress will be achieved in promoting well-rounded human development and achieving common prosperity for everyone.By 2035,the gap between the development of urban and rural areas and the living standards of the population will be significantly reduced.However,to narrow the income gap and achieve common prosperity,a

关 键 词：经济增长目标 增长压力 劳动收入份额 收入分配 

分 类 号：F014.4[经济管理—政治经济学]