1960年以来中国周边邻国国际移民的变迁趋势  

Trends of International Migration in China's Neighboring Countries since 1960

作　　者：段成荣[1] 闵欣伟 Duan Chengrong;Min Xinwei(Center for Population and Development Studies,Institute of Consolidating the Sense of Community for the Chinese Nation,Renmin University of China;School of Sociology and Population Studies,Renmin University of China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学人口与发展研究中心、铸牢中华民族共同体意识研究院,北京100872 [2]中国人民大学社会与人口学院,北京100872

出　　处：《人口研究》2023年第5期102-114,共13页Population Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国少数民族人口迁移流动与民族互嵌格局形成研究”(20&ZD172)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：利用世界银行全球双边迁移数据库和联合国全球移民存量数据库,对1960~2020年中国周边邻国国际移民的变化趋势进行分析,同时关注邻国国际移民的来华情况,并对其未来趋势进行预判。研究发现,60年间,中国邻国国际移民存量与邻国来华移民存量均呈现先减后增的阶段性变化特征。与此同时,中国邻国国际移民的目的地逐渐向欧美与海湾地区转移,不同邻国国际移民的目的地分布存在差异。在此期间,尽管邻国来华移民在全部在华国际移民中占据重要地位,但绝大多数邻国国际移民并未将中国内地视为其主要目的地。结合中国未来发展前景与“一带一路”倡议等战略安排,可以预见中国今后将迎接更大规模的邻国国际移民。当前,需要在学术研究与相关政策制定等方面做好充分准备。Using the Global Bilateral Migration Database and the International Migration Stock Database,this paper examines the changing trends of international migration from China's neighboring countries between 1960 and 2020.It also expilores the situation of migrants from neighboring countries to China and their future trends.In the past 60 years,both the stock of migrants from neighboring countries and the stock of neighboring countries'migrants to China decreased first and then increased.Meanwhile,the destinations of migrants from neighboring countries began to shiff to Europe,America,and the Gulf countries,with differences existing among neighboring countries.During this period,although migrants from neighboring countries occupied an important position among all migrants in China,most migrants from neighboring countries did not migrate to China's mainland.Considering China's future development prospects,it can be expected that China will face a larger scale of migrants from neighboring countries.Currently,adequate preparations are needed in academic research and policy-making.

关 键 词：国际人口迁移 邻国国际移民 移民存量 移民目的地 

分 类 号：C922[社会学—人口学] D523.8[政治法律—政治学]