双鸭山市降雨诱发滑坡灾害气象风险预警模式  

Meteorological Risk Early Warning Model of Rainfall Induced Landslide in Shuangyashan City

作　　者：吕军 王荣[1] 李光玉 张永成[1] Lyv Jun(Shuangyashan Meteorological Bureau,Shuangyashan,Heilongjiang 155100)

机构地区：[1]双鸭山市气象局,黑龙江双鸭山155100 [2]佳木斯市气象局,黑龙江佳木斯154000

出　　处：《农业灾害研究》2023年第8期144-147,共4页Journal of Agricultural Catastrophology

基　　金：黑龙江省气象局科学技术研究项目(HQZC2020025)。

摘　　要：通过建立双鸭山市滑坡地质灾害数据库,综合分析突发性滑坡地质灾害的发生、发展及空间分布规律,开展气象条件(主要是降雨)与滑坡的相关性研究,拟用逻辑回归分析把滑坡地质灾害的发生与当次降雨量和前期土壤含水量相结合构建气象预警模式,以提高其预警的准确性。Establishes the database of landslide hazard in Shuangyashan,comprehensively analyzed the occurrence,development and spatial distribution law of sudden landslide disaster,and carried out the correlation research between meteorological conditions(mainly rainstorm) and landslide.The Logistic regression analysis was used to build the meteorological early warning mode by combining the occurrence of landslide geological disasters with the rainfall and the soil moisture in the early stage,to improve the accuracy of early warning.

关 键 词：滑坡 降雨量 土壤含水量 

分 类 号：P642.22[天文地球—工程地质学]