出口贸易转型如何影响环境污染?  

How does Export Trade Transformation Affect Environmental Pollution?

作　　者：金友森 许和连[3] Jin Yousen;Xu Helian(School of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 210094;Research Center for International Economy&Trade,Nanjing 210094;School of Economics and Trade,Hunan University,Changsha 410079)

机构地区：[1]南京理工大学经济管理学院,南京210094 [2]国际经贸问题研究中心,南京210094 [3]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,长沙410079

出　　处：《管理评论》2023年第8期43-55,共13页Management Review

基　　金：江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目(2022SJZD051);国家社会科学基金重大项目(16ZDA038)。

摘　　要：如何实现对外贸易转型升级与环境治理共赢是当前中国经济亟需解决的关键问题。本文基于中国海关贸易数据库与中国城市数据的匹配数据,实证分析了出口贸易转型对环境污染的影响效应及其作用机制。研究发现,出口贸易转型与环境污染之间存在显著的倒U型关系,这一结论在考虑内生性问题以及改变变量衡量方式等稳健性检验后依然成立。影响机制检验表明,出口贸易转型主要通过正向的结构效应和负向的技术效应影响环境污染,当出口贸易转型未达到临界值时,结构效应大于技术效应;当出口贸易转型超过临界值时,结构效应小于技术效应。异质性分析表明,对于中西部地区以及金融发展水平相对较低的城市而言,出口贸易转型与环境污染之间的倒U型关系更为明显。本文的经验发现为深化理解贸易与环境的关系提供了新视角。How to achieve a win-win result in both foreign trade transformational upgrading and environmental governance is a key issue that needs to be solved urgently in the Chinese economy under the new development stage.Based on matched Chinese customs data and Chinese city-level data,this paper empirically examines the effects and mechanisms of export trade transformation on pollution.The re-sults show there is a significant inverted U-shaped relationship between export trade transformation and pollution,which is still robust af-ter considering endogenous problems and changing the measurement of variables.The transformation of export trade affects pollution through the positive composition effect and negative technique effect.When the transformation of export trade does not reach the critical value,the composition effect is greater than the technique effect;when the transformation of export trade exceeds the critical value,the composition effect is less than the technique effect.The inverted U-shaped relationship between export trade transformation and pollution is more evident in the central and western regions and cities with relatively low levels of financial development.These findings provide a new perspective to better understand the relationship between international trade and the environment.

关 键 词：出口贸易转型 环境污染 一般贸易 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程] F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]