吉林省农业与物流业耦合协调发展研究  

Coupled and Coordinated Development of Agricultural and Logistics in Jilin Province

作　　者：杨帆[1] 王柏谊[1] YANG Fan;WANG Baiyi

机构地区：[1]北华大学经济管理学院,吉林132013

出　　处：《北华大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第5期66-74,152,共10页Journal of Beihua University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：吉林省社会科学基金一般自选项目“吉林省农业与物流业耦合协调发展研究”(2022B66)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：文章以吉林省物流业与农业的耦合发展为研究对象,收集了2010—2021年吉林省管辖的8市1州农业发展水平和物流业发展水平序列作为研究样本,利用时变参数VAR模型测算物流业与农业的联动性特征。在此基础上,建立空间Tobit模型,从数量研究的角度揭示影响吉林省物流业与农业的耦合发展的因素。研究结果显示,吉林省各市、州农业与物流业目前处于不同程度的失调状态,进而提出相应建议。吉林省应完善农村基础物流设施配置,加快乡村地区信息化建设,重视农业物流人才队伍建设,加大农业物流耦合发展的政策支持力度,从而促进农业与物流业的耦合协调向深度发展。This study aimed to examine the coupled development of logistics and agriculture in Jilin Province using the development levels of agriculture and logistics in eight cities and one prefecture from 2010 to 2021.The time-varying parameter VAR model was utilized to estimate the linkage characteristics between logistics and agriculture,while a spatial Tobit model was employed to identify the factors that have an impact on the coupled development of logistics and agriculture in Jilin Province.The agriculture and logistics industries in various cities and prefecture of Jilin Province are currently in varying degrees of imbalance.Jilin Province ought to enhance the configuration of fundamental logistics infrastructure and expedite the establishment of information technology in rural regions,prioritize the cultivation of agricultural logistics talent,augment policy support for the integrated progression of agricultural logistics,and encourage the profound maturation between agriculture and logistics.

关 键 词：农业 物流业 向量自回归模型 吉林省 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]