高铁网络建设发展对民航运输的影响  

Analysis on the Influence of High-speed Railway Network on Civil Aviation

作　　者：吴程程 张建 冯广东 WU Chengcheng;ZHANG Jian;FENG Guangdong(China Civil Aviation Engineering Consulting Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100621,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航工程咨询有限公司,北京100621

出　　处：《综合运输》2023年第10期78-83,共6页China Transportation Review

摘　　要：我国高铁“八纵八横”高铁主通道加快建设,对民航的影响不断扩大。本文从不同层面分析高铁对民航的影响,研究了高铁开通对民航航线造成的四类影响及相应航线特征,基于logit模型对高铁和民航客流量分担变化进行模拟和验证,最后从积极应对高铁挑战角度为民航提出针对性建议。High-speed railway(HSR)development has caused great impacts on civil aviation with its network continuously extending.This article investigated four categories of affected air routes to analyze the influence and summarized the characteristics of corresponding air routes,also built a passenger flow sharing model based on the logit-model and testified the accuracy of this simulation by actual data,and finally,put forward some constructive suggestions for civil aviation to help to effectively respond to HSR challenges.

关 键 词：民航 高铁 航线 客流分担率 

分 类 号：F562[经济管理—产业经济]